Predictions › United Kingdom › Coventry City vs Fulham
Premier LeagueSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Coventry City vs Fulham prediction

Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry CityHome
1.33 : 1.47
expected goals
FulhamAway
33%Coventry
27%Draw
40%Fulham
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Fulham is Fulham to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Fulham to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Coventry City 1.3, Fulham 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Coventry City 33%, the draw 27% and Fulham 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Fulham the favourite at 5/4.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Coventry City took 6 points from their last 5 games and Fulham took 5 from 5. Coventry City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Coventry City won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Fulham won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Coventry City score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.2. Fulham score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Coventry City games and 8 of Fulham games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coventryrecent form-3%
  • Coventryrest between games-5%
Coventry form D W L L LFulham form D D W D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coventry City vs Fulham: Fulham shade it

The big picture

Coventry City host Fulham in the Premier League on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena. Our prediction for Coventry City vs Fulham is Fulham to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Fulham form

Fulham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Coventry City to score about 1.3 goals and Fulham about 1.5. That points to Fulham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CoventryFulham
Games played2020
Wins116
Draws35
Losses69
Goals scored3721
Goals conceded2423
Scored per game1.91.1
Conceded per game1.21.1
Home record6W 1D 4L5W 1D 5L
Away record5W 2D 2L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Coventry City to win32%85/4015/8-7.6%
A Draw25%3/15/2-14.2%
Fulham to win40%6/45/4-8.2%
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens4/6-13.7%
Under 2.5 goals45%5/421/20-8.3%
Coventry City +0.554%5/64/7-15.5%
Fulham -0.542%7/511/10-10.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals53%10/11
Over 3.5 goals31%9/4
Both teams to score57%8/11
Coventry City or Draw60%4/6
Fulham or Draw67%1/2
Coventry City to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Fulham to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Coventry City clean sheet23%10/3
Fulham clean sheet26%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-28.7%
0-18.2%
2-17.9%
1-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Coventry City vs Fulham?

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Fulham is Fulham to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Coventry City vs Fulham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Coventry City to score 1.3 goals and Fulham 1.5.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Fulham?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Coventry City last 20 games and 8 of Fulham last 20.

How are Coventry City playing?

Coventry City have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Fulham playing?

Fulham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Coventry City vs Fulham?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coventry against Fulham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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