Predictions › United Kingdom › Coventry City vs Sunderland

Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Coventry City vs Sunderland prediction

Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry CityHome

1.35 : 1.40

expected goals

SunderlandAway

35%Coventry

27%Draw

38%Sunderland

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Sunderland is Sunderland to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Sunderland to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Coventry City 1.4, Sunderland 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Coventry City 35%, the draw 27% and Sunderland 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Sunderland the favourite at 6/4.
2
Recent form
Coventry City took 6 points from their last 5 games and Sunderland took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Coventry City won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sunderland won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Coventry City score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.3. Sunderland score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Coventry City games and 8 of Sunderland games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Sunderlandrecent form-1%
Coventryrest between games-5%

Coventry form D W W L LSunderland form L W L L WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coventry City vs Sunderland: Sunderland shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coventry City host Sunderland in the Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena. Our prediction for Coventry City vs Sunderland is Sunderland to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Coventry City form

Coventry City have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Sunderland form

Sunderland have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Coventry City to score about 1.4 goals and Sunderland about 1.4. That points to Sunderland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Coventry	Sunderland
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	8
Draws	3	3
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	36	22
Goals conceded	26	30
Scored per game	1.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.5
Home record	5W 1D 4L	5W 1D 4L
Away record	5W 2D 3L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	35%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Coventry City to win	35%	15/8	7/4	-4.3%
A Draw	26%	3/1	12/5	-12.3%
Sunderland to win	38%	13/8	6/4	-6.6%
Over 2.5 goals	48%	21/20	5/6	-9.7%
Under 2.5 goals	48%	11/10	5/6	-11.0%
Coventry City +0.5	56%	4/5	1/2	-15.5%
Sunderland -0.5	40%	6/4	5/4	-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	3/10
Over 2.5 goals	52%	10/11
Over 3.5 goals	30%	12/5
Both teams to score	57%	4/5
Coventry City or Draw	62%	8/13
Sunderland or Draw	65%	8/15
Coventry City to win and Over 2.5	22%	7/2
Sunderland to win and Over 2.5	23%	10/3
Coventry City clean sheet	25%	3/1
Sunderland clean sheet	26%	11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%

1-28.5%

0-18.3%

2-18.1%

1-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Premier League Panel Backs Controversial Referee Decisions

A Premier League panel has backed refereeing decisions in recent matches involving Manchester City and Everton.

30 Sept 2026

Premier League

Arteta Fuming Over Penalty Call Despite Arsenal's Two-Goal Win

Mikel Arteta lashed out at officials over a penalty decision against Arsenal, despite his side securing a 2-0 victory over Sunderland.

13 Sept 2026

Premier League

Coventry Search For First Victory As Manchester Derby Takes Center Stage

Newly promoted Coventry City hunt for their first win against Brighton while Manchester United host rivals Manchester City.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Coventry City vs Sunderland?

Our prediction for Coventry City vs Sunderland is Sunderland to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Coventry City vs Sunderland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Coventry City to score 1.4 goals and Sunderland 1.4.

Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Sunderland?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Coventry City last 20 games and 9 of Sunderland last 20.

How are Coventry City playing?

How are Sunderland playing?

What is the best bet for Coventry City vs Sunderland?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coventry against Sunderland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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