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Predictions › Italy › Cremonese vs Benevento
Serie BSat 31 Oct, 14:00 Italy time

Cremonese vs Benevento prediction

Stadio Giovanni Zini

CremoneseHome
1.08 : 1.03
expected goals
BeneventoAway
36%Cremonese
31%Draw
33%Benevento
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Benevento is Cremonese to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Cremonese to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cremonese 1.1, Benevento 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cremonese 36%, the draw 31% and Benevento 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cremonese took 6 points from their last 5 games and Benevento took 10 from 5. Benevento come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Cremonese score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.7. Benevento score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cremonese games and 3 of Benevento games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cremoneserecent form+1%
  • Beneventorecent form+3%
Cremonese form D D D D WBenevento form D W W W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cremonese vs Benevento: Cremonese shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cremonese host Benevento in the Serie B on Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Our prediction for Cremonese vs Benevento is Cremonese to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Cremonese form

Cremonese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Benevento form

Benevento have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cremonese to score about 1.1 goals and Benevento about 1.0. That points to Cremonese to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CremoneseBenevento
Games played207
Wins43
Draws42
Losses122
Goals scored1710
Goals conceded347
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.71.0
Home record2W 2D 6L2W 2D 1L
Away record2W 2D 6L1W 0D 1L
Clean sheets30%29%
Both teams scored40%57%
Over 2.5 goals60%43%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals35%2.83
Over 3.5 goals16%6.11
Both teams to score43%2.31
Cremonese or Draw67%1.49
Benevento or Draw65%1.55
Cremonese to win and Over 2.516%6.18
Benevento to win and Over 2.515%6.70
Cremonese clean sheet36%2.81
Benevento clean sheet34%2.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.9%
1-012.3%
0-111.7%
2-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Benevento is Cremonese to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Cremonese vs Benevento?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Cremonese to score 1.1 goals and Benevento 1.0.

Will both teams score in Cremonese vs Benevento?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Cremonese last 20 games and 4 of Benevento last 7.

How are Cremonese playing?

Cremonese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Benevento playing?

Benevento have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cremonese vs Benevento?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cremonese against Benevento. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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