Predictions › Italy › Cremonese vs Juve Stabia
Serie BSat 24 Oct, 13:00 Italy time

Cremonese vs Juve Stabia prediction

Stadio Giovanni Zini

CremoneseHome
1.20 : 1.09
expected goals
Juve StabiaAway
38%Cremonese
30%Draw
32%Juve Stabia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia is Cremonese to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Cremonese to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cremonese 1.2, Juve Stabia 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cremonese 38%, the draw 30% and Juve Stabia 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cremonese took 6 points from their last 5 games and Juve Stabia took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cremonese won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Juve Stabia won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cremonese score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Juve Stabia score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Cremonese games and 7 of Juve Stabia games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cremoneserecent form+3%
Cremonese form D D D W WJuve Stabia form D D D L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cremonese vs Juve Stabia: Cremonese shade it

The big picture

Cremonese host Juve Stabia in the Serie B on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Our prediction for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia is Cremonese to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Cremonese form

Cremonese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Juve Stabia form

Juve Stabia have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cremonese to score about 1.2 goals and Juve Stabia about 1.1. That points to Cremonese to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CremoneseJuve Stabia
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws510
Losses116
Goals scored1622
Goals conceded3126
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record2W 3D 6L2W 5D 2L
Away record2W 2D 5L2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored35%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.49
Over 3.5 goals20%5.01
Both teams to score47%2.12
Cremonese or Draw68%1.48
Juve Stabia or Draw62%1.61
Cremonese to win and Over 2.519%5.23
Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.516%6.22
Cremonese clean sheet34%2.98
Juve Stabia clean sheet30%3.33

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-011.3%
0-010.9%
0-110.2%
2-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia is Cremonese to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Cremonese to score 1.2 goals and Juve Stabia 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Cremonese last 20 games and 14 of Juve Stabia last 20.

How are Cremonese playing?

Cremonese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Juve Stabia playing?

Juve Stabia have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cremonese against Juve Stabia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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