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Predictions › Italy › Cremonese vs Virtus Entella
Serie BSat 19 Sept, 13:00 Italy time

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella prediction

Stadio Giovanni Zini

CremoneseHome
1.36 : 0.98
expected goals
Virtus EntellaAway
45%Cremonese
29%Draw
26%Virtus Entella
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella is Cremonese to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Cremonese to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cremonese 1.4, Virtus Entella 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cremonese 45%, the draw 29% and Virtus Entella 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cremonese took 4 points from their last 5 games and Virtus Entella took 7 from 5. Virtus Entella come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cremonese won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Virtus Entella won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cremonese score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Virtus Entella score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cremonese games and 11 of Virtus Entella games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Virtus Entellarecent form-3%
  • Cremoneserest between games-5%
  • Virtus Entellarest between games-5%
Cremonese form D W W L LVirtus Entella form W D L L LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cremonese vs Virtus Entella: Cremonese shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cremonese host Virtus Entella in the Serie B on Sat 19 Sept, 13:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Our prediction for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella is Cremonese to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Cremonese form

Cremonese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Virtus Entella form

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cremonese to score about 1.4 goals and Virtus Entella about 1.0. That points to Cremonese to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CremoneseVirtus Entella
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws34
Losses139
Goals scored1724
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game0.81.2
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record2W 2D 7L5W 2D 3L
Away record2W 1D 6L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.40
Over 3.5 goals21%4.75
Both teams to score47%2.11
Cremonese or Draw74%1.36
Virtus Entella or Draw55%1.81
Cremonese to win and Over 2.524%4.23
Virtus Entella to win and Over 2.513%7.67
Cremonese clean sheet37%2.68
Virtus Entella clean sheet26%3.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-012.3%
0-010.3%
2-08.9%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?

Our prediction for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella is Cremonese to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Cremonese to score 1.4 goals and Virtus Entella 1.0.

Will both teams score in Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Cremonese last 20 games and 11 of Virtus Entella last 20.

How are Cremonese playing?

Cremonese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Virtus Entella playing?

Virtus Entella have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cremonese vs Virtus Entella?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cremonese against Virtus Entella. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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