EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Mexico › Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez
Liga MXSun 18 Oct, 03:00 Mexico time

Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez prediction

Estadio Banorte

Cruz AzulHome
2.58 : 1.13
expected goals
FC JuárezAway
68%Cruz Azul
18%Draw
14%Juárez
Eagle safe pickCruz Azul or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez is Cruz Azul to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Cruz Azul to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Cruz Azul 2.6, FC Juárez 1.1
Best bet
Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cruz Azul or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cruz Azul to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cruz Azul 68%, the draw 18% and FC Juárez 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cruz Azul took 10 points from their last 5 games and FC Juárez took 3 from 5. Cruz Azul come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cruz Azul won 5 of their last 12 games at home. FC Juárez won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cruz Azul score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Juárez score 1.1 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cruz Azul games and 14 of FC Juárez games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cruz Azul won 2 and FC Juárez won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Juárez 3, Cruz Azul 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cruz Azul or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juárezrecent form-4%
Cruz Azul form D L L W WJuárez form L W L L LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez: Cruz Azul are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cruz Azul host FC Juárez in the Liga MX on Sun 18 Oct, 03:00 at Estadio Banorte. Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez is Cruz Azul to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.20.

Cruz Azul form

Cruz Azul have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

FC Juárez form

FC Juárez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 44 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cruz Azul won 2, FC Juárez won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Juárez 3, Cruz Azul 4.

Our call

We expect Cruz Azul to score about 2.6 goals and FC Juárez about 1.1. That points to Cruz Azul to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Cruz Azul to win and both score at 2.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cruz AzulJuárez
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws63
Losses413
Goals scored3622
Goals conceded2844
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.42.2
Home record5W 5D 2L3W 1D 5L
Away record5W 1D 2L1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored75%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.39
Over 3.5 goals51%1.96
Both teams to score63%1.58
Cruz Azul or Draw86%1.17
FC Juárez or Draw32%3.14
Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.554%1.84
FC Juárez to win and Over 2.510%9.70
Cruz Azul clean sheet32%3.11
FC Juárez clean sheet8%13.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
2-08.1%
3-17.9%
1-17.5%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez?

Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez is Cruz Azul to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Cruz Azul to score 2.6 goals and FC Juárez 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Cruz Azul last 20 games and 15 of FC Juárez last 20.

How are Cruz Azul playing?

Cruz Azul have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Juárez playing?

FC Juárez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 44 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cruz Azul and FC Juárez last met?

It ended FC Juárez 3, Cruz Azul 4. In the last 2 meetings Cruz Azul won 2 and FC Juárez won 0.

What is the best bet for Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez?

Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cruz Azul against Juárez. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.