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Predictions › Mexico › Cruz Azul vs León
Liga MXMon 2 Nov, 01:00 Mexico time

Cruz Azul vs León prediction

Estadio Banorte

Cruz AzulHome
1.95 : 1.03
expected goals
LeónAway
58%Cruz Azul
23%Draw
19%León
Eagle safe pickCruz Azul or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs León is Cruz Azul to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Cruz Azul to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cruz Azul 1.9, León 1.0
Best bet
Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cruz Azul or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cruz Azul 58%, the draw 23% and León 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cruz Azul took 8 points from their last 5 games and León took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cruz Azul won 6 of their last 11 games at home. León won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cruz Azul score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. León score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Cruz Azul games and 10 of León games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cruz Azul won 0 and León won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended León 2, Cruz Azul 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cruz Azul or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cruz Azulrest between games-5%
  • Leónrest between games-2%
Cruz Azul form D W D D LLeón form D L D W DHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cruz Azul vs León: Cruz Azul are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cruz Azul host León in the Liga MX on Mon 2 Nov, 01:00 at Estadio Banorte. Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs León is Cruz Azul to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.24.

Cruz Azul form

Cruz Azul have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

León form

León have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cruz Azul won 0, León won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished León 2, Cruz Azul 1.

Our call

We expect Cruz Azul to score about 1.9 goals and León about 1.0. That points to Cruz Azul to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.5 at 2.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Cruz AzulLeón
Games played2020
Wins1210
Draws43
Losses47
Goals scored4331
Goals conceded2931
Scored per game2.11.6
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record6W 3D 2L6W 0D 3L
Away record6W 1D 2L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals35%2.88
Both teams to score56%1.79
Cruz Azul or Draw81%1.23
León or Draw42%2.39
Cruz Azul to win and Over 2.539%2.55
León to win and Over 2.512%8.62
Cruz Azul clean sheet36%2.80
León clean sheet14%7.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
1-09.3%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cruz Azul vs León?

Our prediction for Cruz Azul vs León is Cruz Azul to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Cruz Azul vs León?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Cruz Azul to score 1.9 goals and León 1.0.

Will both teams score in Cruz Azul vs León?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Cruz Azul last 20 games and 12 of León last 20.

How are Cruz Azul playing?

Cruz Azul have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are León playing?

León have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Cruz Azul and León last met?

It ended León 2, Cruz Azul 1. In the last 1 meeting Cruz Azul won 0 and León won 1.

What is the best bet for Cruz Azul vs León?

Cruz Azul or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cruz Azul against León. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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