Predictions › Brazil › Cruzeiro vs Remo
BrasileiraoFri 23 Oct, 23:00 Brazil time

Cruzeiro vs Remo prediction

Estadio Mineirão

CruzeiroHome
1.90 : 0.80
expected goals
RemoAway
63%Cruzeiro
23%Draw
14%Remo
Eagle safe pickCruzeiro or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cruzeiro vs Remo is Cruzeiro to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cruzeiro or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Cruzeiro to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Cruzeiro 1.9, Remo 0.8
Best bet
Cruzeiro or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cruzeiro or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cruzeiro to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cruzeiro 63%, the draw 23% and Remo 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cruzeiro took 9 points from their last 5 games and Remo took 2 from 5. Cruzeiro come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cruzeiro won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Remo won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cruzeiro score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.2. Remo score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Cruzeiro games and 11 of Remo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cruzeiro won 1 and Remo won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Remo 0, Cruzeiro 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cruzeiro or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cruzeirorecent form+3%
  • Remorecent form-4%
  • Cruzeirorest between games-5%
Cruzeiro form D W W L WRemo form D D L L LHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cruzeiro vs Remo: Cruzeiro are favourites

The big picture

Cruzeiro host Remo in the Brasileirao on Fri 23 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Mineirão. Our prediction for Cruzeiro vs Remo is Cruzeiro to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cruzeiro or Draw at 1.20.

Cruzeiro form

Cruzeiro have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Remo form

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cruzeiro won 1, Remo won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Remo 0, Cruzeiro 1.

Our call

We expect Cruzeiro to score about 1.9 goals and Remo about 0.8. That points to Cruzeiro to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cruzeiro or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Cruzeiro to win and Over 2.5 at 2.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CruzeiroRemo
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws46
Losses510
Goals scored3523
Goals conceded2431
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record6W 2D 1L2W 4D 5L
Away record5W 2D 4L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%3.50
Both teams to score47%2.11
Cruzeiro or Draw85%1.17
Remo or Draw37%2.68
Cruzeiro to win and Over 2.538%2.60
Remo to win and Over 2.58%13.17
Cruzeiro clean sheet45%2.23
Remo clean sheet15%6.69

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.2%
2-012.1%
1-110.8%
2-19.7%
3-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Remo?

Our prediction for Cruzeiro vs Remo is Cruzeiro to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cruzeiro or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Cruzeiro vs Remo?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Cruzeiro to score 1.9 goals and Remo 0.8.

Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Remo?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Cruzeiro last 20 games and 14 of Remo last 20.

How are Cruzeiro playing?

Cruzeiro have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Remo playing?

Remo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cruzeiro and Remo last met?

It ended Remo 0, Cruzeiro 1. In the last 1 meeting Cruzeiro won 1 and Remo won 0.

What is the best bet for Cruzeiro vs Remo?

Cruzeiro or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cruzeiro against Remo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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