Predictions › Colombia › Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional

Colombian Primera ATue 20 Oct, 23:30 Colombia time

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional prediction

General Santander

Cúcuta DeportivoHome

1.40 : 1.56

expected goals

Atlético NacionalAway

34%Cúcuta

26%Draw

41%Atl. Nacional

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional is Atlético Nacional to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction: Atlético Nacional to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Cúcuta Deportivo 1.4, Atlético Nacional 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.292 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Atlético Nacional to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cúcuta Deportivo 34%, the draw 26% and Atlético Nacional 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cúcuta Deportivo took 7 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Nacional took 8 from 5. Atlético Nacional come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cúcuta Deportivo won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético Nacional won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atlético Nacional score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Cúcuta Deportivo games and 10 of Atlético Nacional games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Atlético Nacional won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlético Nacional 0, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Atl. Nacionalrecent form+1%
Atl. Nacionalrest between games-2%

Cúcuta form W W L L DAtl. Nacional form D W D L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional: Atlético Nacional shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cúcuta Deportivo host Atlético Nacional in the Colombian Primera A on Tue 20 Oct, 23:30 at General Santander. Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional is Atlético Nacional to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Atlético Nacional form

Atlético Nacional have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cúcuta Deportivo won 0, Atlético Nacional won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Nacional 0, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.

Our call

We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score about 1.4 goals and Atlético Nacional about 1.6. That points to Atlético Nacional to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Atlético Nacional to win and Over 2.5 at 3.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cúcuta	Atl. Nacional
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	13
Draws	7	2
Losses	7	5
Goals scored	23	37
Goals conceded	31	18
Scored per game	1.1	1.9
Conceded per game	1.6	0.9
Home record	5W 3D 1L	7W 2D 0L
Away record	1W 4D 6L	6W 0D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.76
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.91
Both teams to score	60%	1.66
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw	59%	1.69
Atlético Nacional or Draw	66%	1.51
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.57
Atlético Nacional to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.71
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	21%	4.76
Atlético Nacional clean sheet	25%	4.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%

1-28.8%

2-17.9%

0-17.4%

1-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional?

What is the score prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score 1.4 goals and Atlético Nacional 1.6.

Will both teams score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20 games and 9 of Atlético Nacional last 20.

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

How are Atlético Nacional playing?

What happened when Cúcuta Deportivo and Atlético Nacional last met?

It ended Atlético Nacional 0, Cúcuta Deportivo 0. In the last 1 meeting Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Atlético Nacional won 0.

What is the best bet for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Atlético Nacional?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cúcuta against Atl. Nacional. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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