Predictions › Colombia › Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira

Colombian Primera ASun 4 Oct, 21:05 Colombia time

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira prediction

General Santander

Cúcuta DeportivoHome

1.36 : 0.85

expected goals

Deportivo PereiraAway

48%Cúcuta

29%Draw

23%Pereira

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Cúcuta Deportivo to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Cúcuta Deportivo 1.4, Deportivo Pereira 0.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0

14% chanceFair price 7.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cúcuta Deportivo 48%, the draw 29% and Deportivo Pereira 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cúcuta Deportivo took 4 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Pereira took 3 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cúcuta Deportivo won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Deportivo Pereira won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Cúcuta Deportivo score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Cúcuta Deportivo games and 8 of Deportivo Pereira games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Deportivo Pereira won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Pereira 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cúcutarecent form-3%
Pereirarecent form-3%
Cúcutarest between games-5%
Pereirarest between games-5%

Cúcuta form W L L D LPereira form D D L L DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira: Cúcuta Deportivo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cúcuta Deportivo host Deportivo Pereira in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 4 Oct, 21:05 at General Santander. Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cúcuta Deportivo won 0, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Pereira 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 2.

Our call

We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score about 1.4 goals and Deportivo Pereira about 0.8. That points to Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cúcuta	Pereira
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	2
Draws	7	8
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	19	13
Goals conceded	33	27
Scored per game	0.9	0.7
Conceded per game	1.6	1.4
Home record	4W 3D 2L	1W 4D 4L
Away record	1W 4D 6L	1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.52
Over 2.5 goals	38%	2.63
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.46
Both teams to score	43%	2.30
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw	77%	1.29
Deportivo Pereira or Draw	52%	1.92
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.22
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.82
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	43%	2.34
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet	26%	3.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.1%

1-113.4%

0-011.7%

2-010.1%

2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira?

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score 1.4 goals and Deportivo Pereira 0.8.

Will both teams score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20 games and 7 of Deportivo Pereira last 20.

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

What happened when Cúcuta Deportivo and Deportivo Pereira last met?

It ended Deportivo Pereira 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 2. In the last 1 meeting Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Deportivo Pereira won 0.

What is the best bet for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pereira?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cúcuta against Pereira. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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