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Predictions › Colombia › Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera AMon 2 Nov, 23:10 Colombia time

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction

General Santander

Cúcuta DeportivoHome
1.18 : 1.15
expected goals
Independiente Santa FeAway
36%Cúcuta
30%Draw
34%Santa Fe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Cúcuta Deportivo to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cúcuta Deportivo 1.2, Independiente Santa Fe 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cúcuta Deportivo 36%, the draw 30% and Independiente Santa Fe 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cúcuta Deportivo took 12 points from their last 5 games and Independiente Santa Fe took 9 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cúcuta Deportivo won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Independiente Santa Fe won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.5 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cúcuta Deportivo games and 9 of Independiente Santa Fe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Independiente Santa Fe won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Independiente Santa Fe 5, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cúcutarecent form+3%
  • Santa Ferecent form+3%
  • Santa Ferest between games-2%
Cúcuta form D W W W LSanta Fe form D L W W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe: Cúcuta Deportivo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cúcuta Deportivo host Independiente Santa Fe in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 2 Nov, 23:10 at General Santander. Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Independiente Santa Fe form

Independiente Santa Fe have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cúcuta Deportivo won 0, Independiente Santa Fe won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente Santa Fe 5, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.

Our call

We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score about 1.2 goals and Independiente Santa Fe about 1.1. That points to Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CúcutaSanta Fe
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws57
Losses73
Goals scored2130
Goals conceded2717
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record6W 3D 1L6W 4D 1L
Away record2W 2D 6L4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%2.44
Over 3.5 goals21%4.86
Both teams to score48%2.08
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw66%1.53
Independiente Santa Fe or Draw64%1.56
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.518%5.46
Independiente Santa Fe to win and Over 2.518%5.70
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet32%3.16
Independiente Santa Fe clean sheet31%3.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-010.7%
0-010.6%
0-110.4%
2-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score 1.2 goals and Independiente Santa Fe 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20 games and 11 of Independiente Santa Fe last 20.

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

Cúcuta Deportivo have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Independiente Santa Fe playing?

Independiente Santa Fe have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cúcuta Deportivo and Independiente Santa Fe last met?

It ended Independiente Santa Fe 5, Cúcuta Deportivo 0. In the last 1 meeting Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Independiente Santa Fe won 1.

What is the best bet for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cúcuta against Santa Fe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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