Predictions › Colombia › Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC

Colombian Primera ASat 26 Sept, 23:15 Colombia time

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC prediction

General Santander

Cúcuta DeportivoHome

1.28 : 1.13

expected goals

Llaneros FCAway

39%Cúcuta

29%Draw

32%Llaneros FC

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Cúcuta Deportivo to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Cúcuta Deportivo 1.3, Llaneros FC 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cúcuta Deportivo 39%, the draw 29% and Llaneros FC 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cúcuta Deportivo took 7 points from their last 5 games and Llaneros FC took 3 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cúcuta Deportivo won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Llaneros FC won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Cúcuta Deportivo score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. Llaneros FC score 0.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cúcuta Deportivo games and 6 of Llaneros FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Llaneros FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Llaneros FC 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Home edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC: Cúcuta Deportivo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cúcuta Deportivo host Llaneros FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 26 Sept, 23:15 at General Santander. Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cúcuta Deportivo won 0, Llaneros FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Llaneros FC 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 2.

Our call

We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score about 1.3 goals and Llaneros FC about 1.1. That points to Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cúcuta	Llaneros FC
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	5
Draws	7	8
Losses	9	7
Goals scored	19	19
Goals conceded	34	24
Scored per game	0.9	0.9
Conceded per game	1.7	1.2
Home record	3W 3D 2L	3W 4D 2L
Away record	1W 4D 7L	2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.43
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.32
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.51
Both teams to score	49%	2.02
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw	68%	1.47
Llaneros FC or Draw	61%	1.64
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.78
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.5	17%	6.00
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	32%	3.08
Llaneros FC clean sheet	28%	3.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%

1-010.8%

0-09.8%

0-19.4%

2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC?

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC is Cúcuta Deportivo to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score 1.3 goals and Llaneros FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20 games and 10 of Llaneros FC last 20.

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

How are Llaneros FC playing?

What happened when Cúcuta Deportivo and Llaneros FC last met?

It ended Llaneros FC 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 2. In the last 1 meeting Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Llaneros FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Llaneros FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cúcuta against Llaneros FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.