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Colombian Primera AMon 14 Sept, 01:15 Colombia time

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios prediction

General Santander

Cúcuta DeportivoHome

1.08 : 1.51

expected goals

MillonariosAway

26%Cúcuta

27%Draw

46%Millonarios

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios is Millonarios to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Millonarios to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Cúcuta Deportivo 1.1, Millonarios 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cúcuta Deportivo to win

25% chancePrice 4.10+3.0% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cúcuta Deportivo 26%, the draw 27% and Millonarios 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Millonarios the favourite at 1.80.
2
Recent form
Cúcuta Deportivo took 8 points from their last 5 games and Millonarios took 6 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cúcuta Deportivo won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Millonarios won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. Millonarios score 1.6 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cúcuta Deportivo games and 8 of Millonarios games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Millonarios won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Millonarios 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cúcutarecent form+1%
Millonariosrest between games-2%

Cúcuta form D L W W DMillonarios form D D L D WHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios: Millonarios are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cúcuta Deportivo host Millonarios in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 14 Sept, 01:15 at General Santander. Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios is Millonarios to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Millonarios form

Millonarios have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cúcuta Deportivo won 0, Millonarios won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Millonarios 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.

Our call

We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score about 1.1 goals and Millonarios about 1.5. That points to Millonarios to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Cúcuta Deportivo to win at 4.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cúcuta	Millonarios
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	8
Draws	7	7
Losses	8	5
Goals scored	21	33
Goals conceded	34	20
Scored per game	1.1	1.6
Conceded per game	1.7	1.0
Home record	4W 3D 1L	5W 4D 1L
Away record	1W 4D 7L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Cúcuta Deportivo to win	25%	3.98	4.10	+3.0%
A Draw	26%	3.88	3.35	-13.6%
Millonarios to win	44%	2.26	1.80	-20.4%
Over 2.5 goals	46%	2.20	1.95	-11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	52%	1.92	1.74	-9.5%
Cúcuta Deportivo +0.5	48%	2.08	1.91	-8.1%
Millonarios -0.5	49%	2.03	1.74	-14.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.08
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.81
Both teams to score	52%	1.91
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw	54%	1.86
Millonarios or Draw	74%	1.36
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.79
Millonarios to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.67
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	22%	4.52
Millonarios clean sheet	34%	2.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

0-110.6%

1-29.2%

0-28.5%

0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?

Our prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios is Millonarios to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Cúcuta Deportivo to score 1.1 goals and Millonarios 1.5.

Will both teams score in Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20 games and 11 of Millonarios last 20.

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

How are Millonarios playing?

What happened when Cúcuta Deportivo and Millonarios last met?

It ended Millonarios 2, Cúcuta Deportivo 0. In the last 1 meeting Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and Millonarios won 1.

What is the best bet for Cúcuta Deportivo vs Millonarios?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cúcuta against Millonarios. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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