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Predictions › Peru › Cusco FC vs ADT
Peruvian Liga 1Mon 16 Nov, 20:00 Peru time

Cusco FC vs ADT prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cusco FCHome
1.82 : 0.74
expected goals
ADTAway
62%Cusco
23%Draw
14%ADT
Eagle safe pickCusco FC or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cusco FC vs ADT is Cusco FC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Cusco FC to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Cusco FC 1.8, ADT 0.7
Best bet
Cusco FC or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cusco FC or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cusco FC 62%, the draw 23% and ADT 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cusco FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and ADT took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cusco FC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. ADT won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cusco FC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. ADT score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Cusco FC games and 10 of ADT games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cusco FC won 1 and ADT won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended ADT 1, Cusco FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cusco FC or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cuscorecent form-1%
Cusco form L W W L LADT form D W D L DHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cusco FC vs ADT: Cusco FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cusco FC host ADT in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Mon 16 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Cusco FC vs ADT is Cusco FC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.17.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 10 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cusco FC won 1, ADT won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished ADT 1, Cusco FC 2.

Our call

We expect Cusco FC to score about 1.8 goals and ADT about 0.7. That points to Cusco FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5 at 2.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CuscoADT
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws06
Losses1010
Goals scored3020
Goals conceded2832
Scored per game1.51.0
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record6W 0D 4L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 0D 6L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%3.89
Both teams to score45%2.24
Cusco FC or Draw86%1.16
ADT or Draw38%2.66
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.536%2.75
ADT to win and Over 2.57%14.52
Cusco FC clean sheet47%2.11
ADT clean sheet16%6.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.3%
2-012.7%
1-111.0%
2-19.5%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cusco FC vs ADT?

Our prediction for Cusco FC vs ADT is Cusco FC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Cusco FC vs ADT?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Cusco FC to score 1.8 goals and ADT 0.7.

Will both teams score in Cusco FC vs ADT?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Cusco FC last 20 games and 12 of ADT last 20.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 10 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Cusco FC and ADT last met?

It ended ADT 1, Cusco FC 2. In the last 2 meetings Cusco FC won 1 and ADT won 1.

What is the best bet for Cusco FC vs ADT?

Cusco FC or Draw at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cusco against ADT. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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