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Predictions › Peru › Cusco FC vs Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Cusco FC vs Sport Boys prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cusco FCHome
1.62 : 0.69
expected goals
Sport BoysAway
59%Cusco
26%Draw
15%Sport Boys
Eagle safe pickCusco FC or Draw
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cusco FC vs Sport Boys is Cusco FC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction
Cusco FC to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Cusco FC 1.6, Sport Boys 0.7
Best bet
Cusco FC or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cusco FC or Draw
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cusco FC 59%, the draw 26% and Sport Boys 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cusco FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Sport Boys took 4 from 5. Cusco FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cusco FC won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sport Boys won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cusco FC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.5. Sport Boys score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Cusco FC games and 5 of Sport Boys games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cusco FC won 1 and Sport Boys won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sport Boys 1, Cusco FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cusco FC or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cuscorecent form+1%
  • Sport Boysrecent form+3%
Cusco form W L W W LSport Boys form D W L W WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cusco FC vs Sport Boys: Cusco FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cusco FC host Sport Boys in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Cusco FC vs Sport Boys is Cusco FC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.18.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Sport Boys form

Sport Boys have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cusco FC won 1, Sport Boys won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sport Boys 1, Cusco FC 0.

Our call

We expect Cusco FC to score about 1.6 goals and Sport Boys about 0.7. That points to Cusco FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CuscoSport Boys
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws36
Losses96
Goals scored3022
Goals conceded3019
Scored per game1.51.1
Conceded per game1.50.9
Home record5W 2D 3L6W 3D 2L
Away record3W 1D 6L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.93
Both teams to score41%2.47
Cusco FC or Draw85%1.17
Sport Boys or Draw41%2.46
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.531%3.25
Sport Boys to win and Over 2.56%15.64
Cusco FC clean sheet50%1.99
Sport Boys clean sheet20%5.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.5%
2-013.1%
1-111.7%
0-010.6%
2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

Our prediction for Cusco FC vs Sport Boys is Cusco FC to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Cusco FC to score 1.6 goals and Sport Boys 0.7.

Will both teams score in Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Cusco FC last 20 games and 9 of Sport Boys last 20.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Sport Boys playing?

Sport Boys have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cusco FC and Sport Boys last met?

It ended Sport Boys 1, Cusco FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Cusco FC won 1 and Sport Boys won 1.

What is the best bet for Cusco FC vs Sport Boys?

Cusco FC or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cusco against Sport Boys. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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