EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Peru › Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 24 Oct, 20:15 Peru time

Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cusco FCHome
1.76 : 0.94
expected goals
Sporting CristalAway
56%Cusco
25%Draw
19%Sporting Cristal
Eagle safe pickCusco FC or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal is Cusco FC to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Cusco FC to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cusco FC 1.8, Sporting Cristal 0.9
Best bet
Cusco FC or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cusco FC or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cusco FC 56%, the draw 25% and Sporting Cristal 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cusco FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Cristal took 12 from 5. Sporting Cristal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cusco FC won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sporting Cristal won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cusco FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Sporting Cristal score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cusco FC games and 11 of Sporting Cristal games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Cusco FC won 2 and Sporting Cristal won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sporting Cristal 2, Cusco FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cusco FC or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cuscorecent form+3%
  • Sporting Cristalrecent form+3%
Cusco form D W L W WSporting Cristal form D W W W LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal: Cusco FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cusco FC host Sporting Cristal in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 24 Oct, 20:15 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal is Cusco FC to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.27.

Cusco FC form

Cusco FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Sporting Cristal form

Sporting Cristal have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Cusco FC won 2, Sporting Cristal won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Cristal 2, Cusco FC 2.

Our call

We expect Cusco FC to score about 1.8 goals and Sporting Cristal about 0.9. That points to Cusco FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Cusco FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.01.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CuscoSporting Cristal
Games played2020
Wins89
Draws33
Losses98
Goals scored2933
Goals conceded2927
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 1D 1L
Away record3W 1D 6L2W 2D 7L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.51
Both teams to score51%1.96
Cusco FC or Draw81%1.24
Sporting Cristal or Draw44%2.28
Cusco FC to win and Over 2.534%2.91
Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.511%9.44
Cusco FC clean sheet39%2.55
Sporting Cristal clean sheet17%5.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-011.2%
2-010.4%
2-19.8%
0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Our prediction for Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal is Cusco FC to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Cusco FC or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Cusco FC to score 1.8 goals and Sporting Cristal 0.9.

Will both teams score in Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Cusco FC last 20 games and 12 of Sporting Cristal last 20.

How are Cusco FC playing?

Cusco FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Sporting Cristal playing?

Sporting Cristal have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cusco FC and Sporting Cristal last met?

It ended Sporting Cristal 2, Cusco FC 2. In the last 4 meetings Cusco FC won 2 and Sporting Cristal won 1.

What is the best bet for Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Cusco FC or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cusco against Sporting Cristal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.