Predictions › United States › D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati
MLSSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati prediction

Audi Field

D.C. UnitedHome
1.70 : 1.64
expected goals
FC CincinnatiAway
39%D.C. United
24%Draw
37%Cincinnati
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-505

Quick answer

Our prediction for D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati is D.C. United to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505.

Prediction
D.C. United to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
D.C. United 1.7, FC Cincinnati 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -505
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -5052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

D.C. United to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price +2741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives D.C. United 39%, the draw 24% and FC Cincinnati 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    D.C. United took 5 points from their last 5 games and FC Cincinnati took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    D.C. United won 4 of their last 12 games at home. FC Cincinnati won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    D.C. United score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. FC Cincinnati score 2.4 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of D.C. United games and 17 of FC Cincinnati games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • D.C. Unitedrecent form-3%
  • D.C. Unitedrest between games-5%
  • Cincinnatirest between games-5%
D.C. United form D L D L DCincinnati form D W L D DHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati: D.C. United shade it

The big picture

D.C. United host FC Cincinnati in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Audi Field. Our prediction for D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati is D.C. United to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect D.C. United to score about 1.7 goals and FC Cincinnati about 1.6. That points to D.C. United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505. Our bold bet is D.C. United to win and Over 2.5 at +274.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

D.C. UnitedCincinnati
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws107
Losses56
Goals scored3247
Goals conceded3849
Scored per game1.62.4
Conceded per game1.92.5
Home record4W 5D 3L5W 2D 2L
Away record1W 5D 2L2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored75%85%
Over 2.5 goals70%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%-575
Over 2.5 goals65%-184
Over 3.5 goals43%+134
Both teams to score66%-198
D.C. United or Draw63%-173
FC Cincinnati or Draw61%-154
D.C. United to win and Over 2.529%+248
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.527%+275
D.C. United clean sheet19%+413
FC Cincinnati clean sheet18%+448

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%
2-26.9%
1-05.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati?

Our prediction for D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati is D.C. United to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -505.

What is the score prediction for D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect D.C. United to score 1.7 goals and FC Cincinnati 1.6.

Will both teams score in D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of D.C. United last 20 games and 17 of FC Cincinnati last 20.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati?

Over 1.5 goals at -505, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in D.C. United against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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