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Predictions › United States › D.C. United vs New York City FC
MLSSat 7 Nov, 16:00 United States time

D.C. United vs New York City FC prediction

Audi Field

D.C. UnitedHome
1.08 : 1.44
expected goals
New York City FCAway
28%D.C. United
28%Draw
45%NYCFC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-321

Quick answer

Our prediction for D.C. United vs New York City FC is New York City FC to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -321.

Prediction
New York City FC to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
D.C. United 1.1, New York City FC 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -321
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price -3212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price +6531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives D.C. United 28%, the draw 28% and New York City FC 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    D.C. United took 3 points from their last 5 games and New York City FC took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    D.C. United won 3 of their last 12 games at home. New York City FC won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    D.C. United score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.0. New York City FC score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of D.C. United games and 10 of New York City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, D.C. United won 1 and New York City FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended New York City FC 0, D.C. United 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • D.C. Unitedrecent form-3%
  • NYCFCrecent form-3%
D.C. United form D L L W LNYCFC form D D L L DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

D.C. United vs New York City FC: New York City FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

D.C. United host New York City FC in the MLS on Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 at Audi Field. Our prediction for D.C. United vs New York City FC is New York City FC to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -321.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

New York City FC form

New York City FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. D.C. United won 1, New York City FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished New York City FC 0, D.C. United 2.

Our call

We expect D.C. United to score about 1.1 goals and New York City FC about 1.4. That points to New York City FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -321. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +653.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

D.C. UnitedNYCFC
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws98
Losses87
Goals scored2526
Goals conceded4025
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game2.01.3
Home record3W 5D 4L2W 3D 3L
Away record0W 4D 4L3W 5D 4L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%-261
Over 2.5 goals46%+117
Over 3.5 goals25%+307
Both teams to score51%-104
D.C. United or Draw55%-124
New York City FC or Draw72%-263
D.C. United to win and Over 2.515%+572
New York City FC to win and Over 2.525%+295
D.C. United clean sheet24%+321
New York City FC clean sheet34%+194

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-110.9%
1-29.0%
0-08.8%
0-28.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLS

Inter Miami Clinch Playoff Berth With 2-0 Win Over NYCFC

Inter Miami secured a 2026 MLS playoff berth on Wednesday with a 2-0 victory against New York City FC.

15 Oct 2026
MLS

Messi Scores Twice as Inter Miami Wins 4-0 Over D.C. United

Lionel Messi scored two goals to lead Inter Miami to a 4-0 victory over D.C. United shortly after finishing his international career with Argentina.

11 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win D.C. United vs New York City FC?

Our prediction for D.C. United vs New York City FC is New York City FC to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -321.

What is the score prediction for D.C. United vs New York City FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect D.C. United to score 1.1 goals and New York City FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in D.C. United vs New York City FC?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of D.C. United last 20 games and 14 of New York City FC last 20.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are New York City FC playing?

New York City FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when D.C. United and New York City FC last met?

It ended New York City FC 0, D.C. United 2. In the last 1 meeting D.C. United won 1 and New York City FC won 0.

What is the best bet for D.C. United vs New York City FC?

Under 3.5 goals at -321, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in D.C. United against NYCFC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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