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Predictions › United States › Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics
NBASun 15 Nov, 18:00 United States time

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics prediction

TD Garden

Dallas MavericksAway
106.9 : 117.9
projected points
Boston CelticsHome
19%Mavericks
81%Celtics
Eagle safe pickCeltics to win
-437

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 81% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 106.9 and Boston Celtics 117.9. Our best bet is Celtics to win at -437.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks 107, Boston Celtics 118
Projected total
224.8 points
Best bet
Celtics to win at -437

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics to win
81% chanceFair price -4372 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston Celtics 81% and Dallas Mavericks 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston Celtics won 4 of their last 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston Celtics won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Boston Celtics score 114.0 points a game and let in 106.6. Dallas Mavericks score 114.3 and let in 119.6. Their recent games average 220.6 and 233.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Boston Celtics won 2 and Dallas Mavericks won 0. The last one ended Boston Celtics 120, Dallas Mavericks 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticsrest between games-5%
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boston Celtics host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Sun 15 Nov, 18:00 at TD Garden. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 81% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 106.9 and Boston Celtics 117.9. Our best bet is Celtics to win at -437.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2132 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2287 points scored and 2392 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Boston Celtics won 2, Dallas Mavericks won 0. Last time out it finished Boston Celtics 120, Dallas Mavericks 100.

Our call

We expect Dallas Mavericks to score about 106.9 points and Boston Celtics about 117.9. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics to win at -437.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticsMavericks
Games played2020
Wins147
Losses613
Points scored22802287
Points conceded21322392
Scored per game114.0114.3
Conceded per game106.6119.6
Home record9W 3L4W 7L
Away record5W 3L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Celtics spreadCoversFair
Celtics -16.533%+203
Celtics -13.542%+138
Celtics -10.552%-106
Celtics -7.561%-156
Celtics -4.570%-231
Total pointsOverUnder
218.564%36%
221.557%43%
224.551%49%
227.544%56%
230.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Celtics +3.5 wins if Celtics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kyrie Irving Takes On Leadership Role Alongside Cooper Flagg in Dallas

Kyrie Irving is guiding young star Cooper Flagg as the Dallas Mavericks look to rebuild their culture and return to the playoffs.

28 Oct 2026
NBA

Jayson Tatum Hits Overtime Winner as Celtics Edge Nets 125-124

Jayson Tatum scored 40 points and hit the game winner at the overtime buzzer as Boston defeated Brooklyn 125-124.

28 Oct 2026
NBA

Jaylen Brown Addresses Jayson Tatum Drama After Sixers Win

Jaylen Brown downplayed issues with Jayson Tatum after scoring 27 points in a Philadelphia victory, though tension remains between the former Celtics teammates.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics?

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics is Boston Celtics to win, with a 81% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 106.9 and Boston Celtics 117.9. Our best bet is Celtics to win at -437.

What is the projected score for Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics?

We project Dallas Mavericks 106.9 and Boston Celtics 117.9, about 224.8 points in total.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2132 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2287 points scored and 2392 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks last met?

It ended Boston Celtics 120, Dallas Mavericks 100. In the last 2 meetings Boston Celtics won 2 and Dallas Mavericks won 0.

What is the best bet for Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics?

Celtics to win at -437, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtics against Mavericks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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