EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs
NBAWed 4 Nov, 21:30 United States time

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Dallas MavericksAway
108.8 : 119.7
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
19%Mavericks
81%Spurs
Eagle safe pickSpurs to win
-439

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 81% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 108.8 and San Antonio Spurs 119.7. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -439.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks 109, San Antonio Spurs 120
Projected total
228.5 points
Best bet
Spurs to win at -439

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs to win
81% chanceFair price -4392 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 81% and Dallas Mavericks 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 3 of their last 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 1 of their last 5. San Antonio Spurs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 110.3 points a game and let in 108.3. Dallas Mavericks score 117.2 and let in 124.7. Their recent games average 218.6 and 241.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 0. The last one ended Dallas Mavericks 106, San Antonio Spurs 122.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-5%
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 21:30 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 81% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 108.8 and San Antonio Spurs 119.7. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -439.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2207 points scored and 2165 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2494 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 5, Dallas Mavericks won 0. Last time out it finished Dallas Mavericks 106, San Antonio Spurs 122.

Our call

We expect Dallas Mavericks to score about 108.8 points and San Antonio Spurs about 119.7. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs to win at -439.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursMavericks
Games played2020
Wins85
Losses1215
Points scored22072344
Points conceded21652494
Scored per game110.3117.2
Conceded per game108.3124.7
Home record4W 7L2W 9L
Away record4W 5L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -16.532%+208
Spurs -13.542%+141
Spurs -10.551%-104
Spurs -7.560%-153
Spurs -4.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
222.563%37%
225.557%43%
228.550%50%
231.543%57%
234.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Amen Thompson Block Seals Rockets Win Over Spurs

Amen Thompson swatted Victor Wembanyama in the final seconds to give the Houston Rockets a 114-110 victory.

24 Oct 2026
NBA

Rockets Trap Kyrie Irving as Dallas Drops Season Opener

Houston rolled to a 128-110 win over Dallas, swarming Kyrie Irving and building a massive lead in the second quarter.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

Spurs Coach Mitch Johnson Names Three Guard Lineup for Opener

San Antonio will start De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, and Dylan Harper against Oklahoma City.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 81% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 108.8 and San Antonio Spurs 119.7. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -439.

What is the projected score for Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Dallas Mavericks 108.8 and San Antonio Spurs 119.7, about 228.5 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2207 points scored and 2165 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2494 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks last met?

It ended Dallas Mavericks 106, San Antonio Spurs 122. In the last 5 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 0.

What is the best bet for Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs?

Spurs to win at -439, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Mavericks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.