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Predictions › United States › Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz
NBASun 22 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz prediction

Delta Center

Dallas MavericksAway
120.7 : 119.7
projected points
Utah JazzHome
56%Mavericks
44%Jazz
Eagle safe pickJazz +9.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Mavericks 120.7 and Utah Jazz 119.7. Our best bet is Jazz +9.5 at -310.

Prediction
Dallas Mavericks to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks 121, Utah Jazz 120
Projected total
240.4 points
Best bet
Jazz +9.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Jazz +9.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jazz to win
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Jazz 44% and Dallas Mavericks 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Jazz won 0 of their last 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 5. Dallas Mavericks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Jazz won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Jazz score 111.7 points a game and let in 119.5. Dallas Mavericks score 114.7 and let in 116.3. Their recent games average 231.2 and 231.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Utah Jazz won 2 and Dallas Mavericks won 3. The last one ended Dallas Mavericks 112, Utah Jazz 100.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Jazz +9.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jazzrest between games-5%
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz: Dallas Mavericks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Utah Jazz host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Sun 22 Nov, 19:00 at Delta Center. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Mavericks 120.7 and Utah Jazz 119.7. Our best bet is Jazz +9.5 at -310.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2234 points scored and 2390 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2294 points scored and 2327 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Utah Jazz won 2, Dallas Mavericks won 3. Last time out it finished Dallas Mavericks 112, Utah Jazz 100.

Our call

We expect Dallas Mavericks to score about 120.7 points and Utah Jazz about 119.7. That points to Dallas Mavericks to win. Our safest bet is Jazz +9.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Jazz to win at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JazzMavericks
Games played2020
Wins59
Losses1511
Points scored22342294
Points conceded23902327
Scored per game111.7114.7
Conceded per game119.5116.3
Home record3W 7L6W 5L
Away record2W 8L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jazz spreadCoversFair
Jazz -4.533%+205
Jazz -1.542%+139
Jazz +1.551%-106
Jazz +4.561%-155
Jazz +7.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
234.563%37%
237.556%44%
240.550%50%
243.543%57%
246.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jazz +3.5 wins if Jazz win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kyrie Irving Takes On Leadership Role Alongside Cooper Flagg in Dallas

Kyrie Irving is guiding young star Cooper Flagg as the Dallas Mavericks look to rebuild their culture and return to the playoffs.

28 Oct 2026
NBA

Luka Doncic Drops 52 Points as Lakers Beat Jazz in Salt Lake City

Luka Doncic scored 52 points to lead the Los Angeles Lakers to a 132-123 win over the Utah Jazz on Sunday.

26 Oct 2026
NBA

Rockets Trap Kyrie Irving as Dallas Drops Season Opener

Houston rolled to a 128-110 win over Dallas, swarming Kyrie Irving and building a massive lead in the second quarter.

22 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Mavericks 120.7 and Utah Jazz 119.7. Our best bet is Jazz +9.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?

We project Dallas Mavericks 120.7 and Utah Jazz 119.7, about 240.4 points in total.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2234 points scored and 2390 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2294 points scored and 2327 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks last met?

It ended Dallas Mavericks 112, Utah Jazz 100. In the last 5 meetings Utah Jazz won 2 and Dallas Mavericks won 3.

What is the best bet for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?

Jazz +9.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jazz against Mavericks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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