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Predictions › United States › Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres
NHLThu 8 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres prediction

KeyBank Center

Dallas StarsAway
3.2 : 3.0
projected goals
Buffalo SabresHome
59%Stars
41%Sabres
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-391

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres is Dallas Stars to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -391.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Dallas Stars 3, Buffalo Sabres 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -391

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
80% chanceFair price -3912 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sabres to win
41% chanceFair price +1411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Sabres 41% and Dallas Stars 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Sabres won 1 of their last 5 and Dallas Stars won 4 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Dallas Stars won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Sabres score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.8. Dallas Stars score 2.9 and let in 2.7. Their recent games average 6.0 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Buffalo Sabres won 1 and Dallas Stars won 1. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 3, Dallas Stars 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabresrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres: Dallas Stars are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Buffalo Sabres host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Thu 8 Oct, 19:00 at KeyBank Center. Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres is Dallas Stars to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -391.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Buffalo Sabres won 1, Dallas Stars won 1. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 3, Dallas Stars 4.

Our call

We expect Dallas Stars to score about 3.2 goals and Buffalo Sabres about 3.0. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -391. Our bold bet is Sabres to win at +141.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabresStars
Games played2020
Wins1013
Losses107
Goals scored6557
Goals conceded5554
Scored per game3.32.9
Conceded per game2.82.7
Home record4W 7L7W 3L
Away record6W 3L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sabres spreadCoversFair
Sabres -0.537%+168
Sabres +0.554%-116
Sabres +1.569%-228
Total goalsOverUnder
5.562%38%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sabres +3.5 wins if Sabres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres?

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres is Dallas Stars to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -391.

What is the projected score for Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres?

We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.0, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Sabres and Dallas Stars last met?

It ended Buffalo Sabres 3, Dallas Stars 4. In the last 2 meetings Buffalo Sabres won 1 and Dallas Stars won 1.

What is the best bet for Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres?

Under 8 goals at -391, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabres against Stars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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