Predictions › United States › Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks
NHLSat 17 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction

United Center

Dallas StarsAway
3.4 : 2.4
projected goals
Chicago BlackhawksHome
70%Stars
30%Blackhawks
Eagle safe pickBlackhawks +3
-395

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks is Dallas Stars to win, with a 70% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.4 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.4. Our best bet is Blackhawks +3 at -395.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Dallas Stars 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Blackhawks +3 at -395

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blackhawks +3
80% chanceFair price -3952 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blackhawks to win
30% chanceFair price +2331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Blackhawks 30% and Dallas Stars 70%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Blackhawks won 2 of their last 5 and Dallas Stars won 3 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Blackhawks won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Dallas Stars won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Blackhawks score 2.4 goals a game and let in 3.8. Dallas Stars score 2.6 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 6.2 and 5.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Chicago Blackhawks won 2 and Dallas Stars won 1. The last one ended Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blackhawks +3 has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackhawksrest between games-5%
  • Starsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks: Dallas Stars are favourites

The big picture

Chicago Blackhawks host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at United Center. Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks is Dallas Stars to win, with a 70% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.4 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.4. Our best bet is Blackhawks +3 at -395.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Chicago Blackhawks won 2, Dallas Stars won 1. Last time out it finished Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3.

Our call

We expect Dallas Stars to score about 3.4 goals and Chicago Blackhawks about 2.4. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Blackhawks +3 at -395. Our bold bet is Blackhawks to win at +233.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackhawksStars
Games played2020
Wins613
Losses147
Goals scored4853
Goals conceded7649
Scored per game2.42.6
Conceded per game3.82.5
Home record4W 4L8W 4L
Away record2W 10L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Blackhawks spreadCoversFair
Blackhawks +0.541%+145
Blackhawks +1.557%-134
Blackhawks +2.573%-264
Total goalsOverUnder
4.572%28%
5.555%45%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blackhawks +3.5 wins if Blackhawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks is Dallas Stars to win, with a 70% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.4 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.4. Our best bet is Blackhawks +3 at -395.

What is the projected score for Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks?

We project Dallas Stars 3.4 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.4, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Blackhawks and Dallas Stars last met?

It ended Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3. In the last 3 meetings Chicago Blackhawks won 2 and Dallas Stars won 1.

What is the best bet for Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Blackhawks +3 at -395, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackhawks against Stars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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