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Predictions › United States › Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLWed 14 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Dallas StarsAway
2.8 : 3.4
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
41%Stars
59%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-385

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 3.4. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -385.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Dallas Stars 3, Colorado Avalanche 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -385

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
79% chanceFair price -3852 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stars to win
37% chanceFair price +1711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 59% and Dallas Stars 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5 and Dallas Stars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 10 of their last 12 games at home. Dallas Stars won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.5. Dallas Stars score 2.5 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.0 and 5.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 2 and Dallas Stars won 3. The last one ended Dallas Stars 0, Colorado Avalanche 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
  • Starsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Wed 14 Oct, 20:30 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 3.4. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -385.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 2, Dallas Stars won 3. Last time out it finished Dallas Stars 0, Colorado Avalanche 2.

Our call

We expect Dallas Stars to score about 2.8 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 3.4. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -385. Our bold bet is Stars to win at +171.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheStars
Games played2020
Wins1312
Losses78
Goals scored7051
Goals conceded5055
Scored per game3.52.5
Conceded per game2.52.8
Home record10W 2L7W 4L
Away record3W 5L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -1.535%+187
Avalanche -0.551%-104
Avalanche +0.567%-204
Total goalsOverUnder
5.562%38%
6.545%55%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

ASU Appoints Former Justice To Review Hockey Player's Tragic Collapse

Arizona State has appointed former state Supreme Court chief justice Scott Bales to lead an independent review after hockey player Matthew Mayich collapsed.

3 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 3.4. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -385.

What is the projected score for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Dallas Stars 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 3.4, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 50 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars last met?

It ended Dallas Stars 0, Colorado Avalanche 2. In the last 5 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 2 and Dallas Stars won 3.

What is the best bet for Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche?

Under 8 goals at -385, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Stars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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