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Predictions › United States › Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild
NHLFri 25 Sept, 20:00 United States time

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Grand Casino Arena

Dallas StarsAway
3.1 : 2.9
projected goals
Minnesota WildHome
56%Stars
44%Wild
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-581

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild is Dallas Stars to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Stars 3.1 and Minnesota Wild 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -581.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Dallas Stars 3, Minnesota Wild 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -581

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
85% chanceFair price -5812 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wild to win
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Wild 44% and Dallas Stars 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Wild won 1 of their last 5 and Dallas Stars won 2 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Wild won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Dallas Stars won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Wild score 3.7 goals a game and let in 3.5. Dallas Stars score 2.9 and let in 3.2. Their recent games average 7.2 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Minnesota Wild won 3 and Dallas Stars won 2. The last one ended Minnesota Wild 5, Dallas Stars 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wildrest between games-3%
  • Starsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild: Dallas Stars shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Wild host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Fri 25 Sept, 20:00 at Grand Casino Arena. Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild is Dallas Stars to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Stars 3.1 and Minnesota Wild 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -581.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Minnesota Wild won 3, Dallas Stars won 2. Last time out it finished Minnesota Wild 5, Dallas Stars 2.

Our call

We expect Dallas Stars to score about 3.1 goals and Minnesota Wild about 2.9. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -581. Our bold bet is Wild to win at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WildStars
Games played2020
Wins109
Losses1011
Goals scored7457
Goals conceded6964
Scored per game3.72.9
Conceded per game3.53.2
Home record6W 2L5W 5L
Away record4W 8L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Wild spreadCoversFair
Wild -0.539%+160
Wild +0.555%-122
Wild +1.571%-240
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.542%58%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wild +3.5 wins if Wild win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild?

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild is Dallas Stars to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Stars 3.1 and Minnesota Wild 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -581.

What is the projected score for Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild?

We project Dallas Stars 3.1 and Minnesota Wild 2.9, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Wild and Dallas Stars last met?

It ended Minnesota Wild 5, Dallas Stars 2. In the last 5 meetings Minnesota Wild won 3 and Dallas Stars won 2.

What is the best bet for Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild?

Under 8 goals at -581, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wild against Stars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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