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Predictions › United States › Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights
NHLTue 17 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

T-Mobile Arena

Dallas StarsAway
3.2 : 2.8
projected goals
Vegas Golden KnightsHome
59%Stars
41%Golden Knights
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-515

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights is Dallas Stars to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Vegas Golden Knights 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -515.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Dallas Stars 3, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -515

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
84% chanceFair price -5152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Golden Knights to win
41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vegas Golden Knights 41% and Dallas Stars 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vegas Golden Knights won 3 of their last 5 and Dallas Stars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vegas Golden Knights won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Dallas Stars won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vegas Golden Knights score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.8. Dallas Stars score 2.8 and let in 2.1. Their recent games average 6.0 and 4.9 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Vegas Golden Knights won 1 and Dallas Stars won 2. The last one ended Dallas Stars 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-2%
  • Starsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights: Dallas Stars are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vegas Golden Knights host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Tue 17 Nov, 22:00 at T-Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights is Dallas Stars to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Vegas Golden Knights 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -515.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Vegas Golden Knights won 1, Dallas Stars won 2. Last time out it finished Dallas Stars 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3.

Our call

We expect Dallas Stars to score about 3.2 goals and Vegas Golden Knights about 2.8. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -515. Our bold bet is Golden Knights to win at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Golden KnightsStars
Games played2020
Wins1213
Losses87
Goals scored6655
Goals conceded5543
Scored per game3.32.8
Conceded per game2.82.1
Home record6W 4L8W 4L
Away record6W 4L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Golden Knights spreadCoversFair
Golden Knights -0.536%+179
Golden Knights +0.552%-109
Golden Knights +1.568%-214
Total goalsOverUnder
4.574%26%
5.558%42%
6.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Golden Knights +3.5 wins if Golden Knights win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Connor Hellebuyck Opens Up About Decision to Leave Winnipeg

Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck addressed Winnipeg fans on Instagram after requesting a trade to New Jersey due to family matters.

5 Nov 2026
NHL

Plano Voters Reject Tax Plan for Proposed Dallas Stars Arena

Plano voters rejected a tax proposal to help fund a new arena for the Dallas Stars as part of a $3 billion development project.

4 Nov 2026
NHL

Dave Hakstol takes over at Arizona State amid player investigation

Dave Hakstol left the NHL to lead Arizona State hockey while an investigation into a player's collapse continues.

28 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights is Dallas Stars to win, with a 59% chance. We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Vegas Golden Knights 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -515.

What is the projected score for Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights?

We project Dallas Stars 3.2 and Vegas Golden Knights 2.8, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Vegas Golden Knights and Dallas Stars last met?

It ended Dallas Stars 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3. In the last 3 meetings Vegas Golden Knights won 1 and Dallas Stars won 2.

What is the best bet for Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights?

Over 4 goals at -515, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Golden Knights against Stars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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