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Predictions › United States › Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals
NHLTue 3 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Dallas StarsAway
2.9 : 2.8
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
55%Stars
45%Capitals
Eagle safe pickCapitals +2
-435

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals is Dallas Stars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Stars 2.9 and Washington Capitals 2.8. Our best bet is Capitals +2 at -435.

Prediction
Dallas Stars to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Dallas Stars 3, Washington Capitals 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Capitals +2 at -435

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Capitals +2
81% chanceFair price -4352 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 45% and Dallas Stars 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 3 of their last 5 and Dallas Stars won 4 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Dallas Stars won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.5 goals a game and let in 2.7. Dallas Stars score 2.5 and let in 2.1. Their recent games average 6.3 and 4.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Washington Capitals won 0 and Dallas Stars won 2. The last one ended Washington Capitals 1, Dallas Stars 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Capitals +2 has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Capitalsrest between games-5%
  • Starsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals: Dallas Stars shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Dallas Stars in the NHL on Tue 3 Nov, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals is Dallas Stars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Stars 2.9 and Washington Capitals 2.8. Our best bet is Capitals +2 at -435.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 0, Dallas Stars won 2. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 1, Dallas Stars 4.

Our call

We expect Dallas Stars to score about 2.9 goals and Washington Capitals about 2.8. That points to Dallas Stars to win. Our safest bet is Capitals +2 at -435.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsStars
Games played2020
Wins1412
Losses68
Goals scored7149
Goals conceded5443
Scored per game3.52.5
Conceded per game2.72.1
Home record9W 2L6W 4L
Away record5W 4L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -0.539%+153
Capitals +0.556%-127
Capitals +1.571%-250
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.553%47%
6.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Los Angeles Kings Earn First Victory of Season Against Washington

The Los Angeles Kings picked up their first win of the season by defeating the Washington Capitals 5-2 on Tuesday night.

21 Oct 2026
NHL

Dave Hakstol in Talks for Arizona State Head Coaching Job

Arizona State is in discussions with Avalanche assistant Dave Hakstol about its head coaching vacancy, with a decision expected this week.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

Matt Duchene Out Up to Three Months for Stars

Dallas Stars forward Matt Duchene will miss up to three months after having core muscle surgery.

12 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals is Dallas Stars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Stars 2.9 and Washington Capitals 2.8. Our best bet is Capitals +2 at -435.

What is the projected score for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals?

We project Dallas Stars 2.9 and Washington Capitals 2.8, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Dallas Stars last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 1, Dallas Stars 4. In the last 2 meetings Washington Capitals won 0 and Dallas Stars won 2.

What is the best bet for Dallas Stars vs Washington Capitals?

Capitals +2 at -435, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Stars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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