Predictions › United States › Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries
WNBAFri 2 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries prediction

Chase Center

Dallas WingsAway
79.3 : 86.4
projected points
Golden State ValkyriesHome
25%Wings
75%Valkyries
Eagle safe pickWings +14.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 75% chance. We project Dallas Wings 79.3 and Golden State Valkyries 86.4. Our best bet is Wings +14.5 at -304.

Prediction
Golden State Valkyries to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Dallas Wings 79, Golden State Valkyries 86
Projected total
165.7 points
Best bet
Wings +14.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wings +14.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Valkyries 75% and Dallas Wings 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Valkyries won 4 of their last 5 and Dallas Wings won 3 of their last 5. Golden State Valkyries come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Valkyries won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Dallas Wings won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Valkyries score 83.2 points a game and let in 74.1. Dallas Wings score 88.8 and let in 86.2. Their recent games average 157.3 and 175.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Golden State Valkyries won 4 and Dallas Wings won 0. The last one ended Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Wings +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Valkyriesrest between games-5%
  • Wingsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries: Golden State Valkyries are favourites

The big picture

Golden State Valkyries host Dallas Wings in the WNBA on Fri 2 Oct, 00:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 75% chance. We project Dallas Wings 79.3 and Golden State Valkyries 86.4. Our best bet is Wings +14.5 at -304.

Golden State Valkyries form

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1664 points scored and 1482 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Dallas Wings form

Dallas Wings have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 1776 points scored and 1724 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Golden State Valkyries won 4, Dallas Wings won 0. Last time out it finished Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80.

Our call

We expect Dallas Wings to score about 79.3 points and Golden State Valkyries about 86.4. That points to Golden State Valkyries to win. Our safest bet is Wings +14.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValkyriesWings
Games played2020
Wins1510
Losses510
Points scored16641776
Points conceded14821724
Scored per game83.288.8
Conceded per game74.186.2
Home record8W 2L8W 3L
Away record7W 3L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Valkyries spreadCoversFair
Valkyries -13.528%+258
Valkyries -10.538%+165
Valkyries -7.548%+106
Valkyries -4.559%-145
Valkyries -1.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
159.566%34%
162.558%42%
165.550%50%
168.543%57%
171.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Valkyries +3.5 wins if Valkyries win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries?

Our prediction for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries is Golden State Valkyries to win, with a 75% chance. We project Dallas Wings 79.3 and Golden State Valkyries 86.4. Our best bet is Wings +14.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries?

We project Dallas Wings 79.3 and Golden State Valkyries 86.4, about 165.7 points in total.

How are Golden State Valkyries playing?

Golden State Valkyries have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1664 points scored and 1482 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Wings playing?

Dallas Wings have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 1776 points scored and 1724 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Valkyries and Dallas Wings last met?

It ended Golden State Valkyries 104, Dallas Wings 80. In the last 4 meetings Golden State Valkyries won 4 and Dallas Wings won 0.

What is the best bet for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries?

Wings +14.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valkyries against Wings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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