Predictions › Uruguay › Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club

Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 18 Oct, 18:00 Uruguay time

Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club prediction

Jardines del Hipódromo

DanubioHome

1.24 : 0.77

expected goals

Central Español Fútbol ClubAway

47%Danubio

31%Draw

22%Central Español

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Danubio to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Danubio to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Danubio 1.2, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0

16% chanceFair price 6.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Danubio 47%, the draw 31% and Central Español Fútbol Club 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Danubio took 5 points from their last 5 games and Central Español Fútbol Club took 2 from 5. Danubio come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Danubio won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Danubio score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Central Español Fútbol Club score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Danubio games and 9 of Central Español Fútbol Club games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Danubio won 0 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Central Español Fútbol Club 2, Danubio 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Danubiorecent form-1%
Central Españolrecent form-4%

Danubio form W L D D LCentral Español form L L L D DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club: Danubio are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Danubio host Central Español Fútbol Club in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 18 Oct, 18:00 at Jardines del Hipódromo. Our prediction for Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Danubio to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Danubio form

Danubio have 2 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Central Español Fútbol Club form

Central Español Fútbol Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Danubio won 0, Central Español Fútbol Club won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Central Español Fútbol Club 2, Danubio 2.

Our call

We expect Danubio to score about 1.2 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club about 0.8. That points to Danubio to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Danubio	Central Español
Games played	20	20
Wins	2	5
Draws	9	5
Losses	9	10
Goals scored	12	16
Goals conceded	25	29
Scored per game	0.6	0.8
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	1W 5D 4L	4W 3D 4L
Away record	1W 4D 5L	1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.65
Over 2.5 goals	33%	3.06
Over 3.5 goals	14%	6.90
Both teams to score	39%	2.57
Danubio or Draw	78%	1.29
Central Español Fútbol Club or Draw	53%	1.87
Danubio to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.90
Central Español Fútbol Club to win and Over 2.5	9%	11.36
Danubio clean sheet	46%	2.16
Central Español Fútbol Club clean sheet	29%	3.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.8%

0-014.2%

1-113.6%

2-010.3%

0-19.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Our prediction for Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Danubio to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Danubio to score 1.2 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club 0.8.

Will both teams score in Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Danubio last 20 games and 9 of Central Español Fútbol Club last 20.

How are Danubio playing?

How are Central Español Fútbol Club playing?

What happened when Danubio and Central Español Fútbol Club last met?

It ended Central Español Fútbol Club 2, Danubio 2. In the last 1 meeting Danubio won 0 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 0.

What is the best bet for Danubio vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Danubio against Central Español. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.