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Predictions › Uruguay › Danubio vs Liverpool
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 15 Nov, 19:30 Uruguay time

Danubio vs Liverpool prediction

Jardines del Hipódromo

DanubioHome
0.74 : 1.32
expected goals
LiverpoolAway
20%Danubio
30%Draw
50%Liverpool
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Liverpool to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Danubio 0.7, Liverpool 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
16% chanceFair price 6.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Danubio 20%, the draw 30% and Liverpool 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Danubio took 6 points from their last 5 games and Liverpool took 13 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Danubio won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Liverpool won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Danubio score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Liverpool score 1.4 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Danubio games and 8 of Liverpool games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Danubio won 0 and Liverpool won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Liverpool 3, Danubio 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Danubiorecent form-1%
  • Liverpoolrecent form+6%
Danubio form L L W L WLiverpool form W W W D WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Danubio vs Liverpool: Liverpool are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Danubio host Liverpool in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 15 Nov, 19:30 at Jardines del Hipódromo. Our prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Danubio form

Danubio have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Danubio won 0, Liverpool won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Liverpool 3, Danubio 0.

Our call

We expect Danubio to score about 0.7 goals and Liverpool about 1.3. That points to Liverpool to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DanubioLiverpool
Games played2020
Wins211
Draws86
Losses103
Goals scored1227
Goals conceded2413
Scored per game0.61.4
Conceded per game1.20.7
Home record2W 4D 4L6W 3D 1L
Away record0W 4D 6L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets25%60%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals35%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.94
Over 3.5 goals15%6.48
Both teams to score39%2.55
Danubio or Draw50%1.98
Liverpool or Draw80%1.26
Danubio to win and Over 2.58%12.31
Liverpool to win and Over 2.522%4.45
Danubio clean sheet27%3.74
Liverpool clean sheet47%2.11

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-116.0%
0-013.5%
1-113.2%
0-211.0%
1-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Danubio vs Liverpool?

Our prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Danubio vs Liverpool?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Danubio to score 0.7 goals and Liverpool 1.3.

Will both teams score in Danubio vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Danubio last 20 games and 8 of Liverpool last 20.

How are Danubio playing?

Danubio have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Liverpool playing?

Liverpool have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Danubio and Liverpool last met?

It ended Liverpool 3, Danubio 0. In the last 1 meeting Danubio won 0 and Liverpool won 1.

What is the best bet for Danubio vs Liverpool?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Danubio against Liverpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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