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Predictions › Sweden › Degerfors IF vs GAIS
AllsvenskanSat 7 Nov, 16:30 Sweden time

Degerfors IF vs GAIS prediction

Stora Valla

Degerfors IFHome
1.05 : 1.34
expected goals
GAISAway
29%Degerfors
29%Draw
42%GAIS
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Degerfors IF 1.1, GAIS 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Degerfors IF 29%, the draw 29% and GAIS 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Degerfors IF took 1 point from their last 5 games and GAIS took 4 from 5. GAIS come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Degerfors IF won 2 of their last 9 games at home. GAIS won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Degerfors IF score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. GAIS score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Degerfors IF games and 6 of GAIS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Degerfors IF won 0 and GAIS won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended GAIS 1, Degerfors IF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Degerforsrecent form-4%
  • GAISrecent form-3%
  • Degerforsrest between games-5%
Degerfors form D L L D LGAIS form D L L W LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Degerfors IF vs GAIS: GAIS shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Degerfors IF host GAIS in the Allsvenskan on Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 at Stora Valla. Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

GAIS form

GAIS have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Degerfors IF won 0, GAIS won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished GAIS 1, Degerfors IF 1.

Our call

We expect Degerfors IF to score about 1.1 goals and GAIS about 1.3. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DegerforsGAIS
Games played2020
Wins38
Draws35
Losses147
Goals scored1427
Goals conceded3718
Scored per game0.71.4
Conceded per game1.90.9
Home record2W 1D 6L5W 4D 2L
Away record1W 2D 8L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets10%45%
Both teams scored35%30%
Over 2.5 goals45%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%4.54
Both teams to score49%2.05
Degerfors IF or Draw58%1.74
GAIS or Draw71%1.40
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.515%6.78
GAIS to win and Over 2.523%4.39
Degerfors IF clean sheet26%3.82
GAIS clean sheet35%2.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
0-111.4%
0-09.9%
1-08.9%
1-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Degerfors IF vs GAIS?

Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Degerfors IF vs GAIS?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Degerfors IF to score 1.1 goals and GAIS 1.3.

Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs GAIS?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Degerfors IF last 20 games and 6 of GAIS last 20.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Degerfors IF and GAIS last met?

It ended GAIS 1, Degerfors IF 1. In the last 1 meeting Degerfors IF won 0 and GAIS won 0.

What is the best bet for Degerfors IF vs GAIS?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Degerfors against GAIS. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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