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Predictions › Sweden › Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF
AllsvenskanMon 19 Oct, 17:00 Sweden time

Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF prediction

Stora Valla

Degerfors IFHome
1.19 : 0.76
expected goals
Kalmar FFAway
45%Degerfors
32%Draw
23%Kalmar FF
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF is Degerfors IF to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Degerfors IF to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Degerfors IF 1.2, Kalmar FF 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Degerfors IF 45%, the draw 32% and Kalmar FF 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Degerfors IF took 3 points from their last 5 games and Kalmar FF took 1 from 5. Degerfors IF come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Degerfors IF won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Kalmar FF won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Degerfors IF score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kalmar FF score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Degerfors IF games and 10 of Kalmar FF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Degerfors IF won 0 and Kalmar FF won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kalmar FF 2, Degerfors IF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Degerforsrecent form-4%
  • Kalmar FFrecent form-6%
Degerfors form L L W L LKalmar FF form L L L L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF: Degerfors IF are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Degerfors IF host Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan on Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 at Stora Valla. Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF is Degerfors IF to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Degerfors IF won 0, Kalmar FF won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kalmar FF 2, Degerfors IF 1.

Our call

We expect Degerfors IF to score about 1.2 goals and Kalmar FF about 0.8. That points to Degerfors IF to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DegerforsKalmar FF
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws44
Losses1211
Goals scored1619
Goals conceded3132
Scored per game0.80.9
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record3W 2D 5L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 2D 7L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored40%40%
Over 2.5 goals35%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals59%1.70
Over 2.5 goals31%3.23
Over 3.5 goals13%7.45
Both teams to score38%2.64
Degerfors IF or Draw77%1.30
Kalmar FF or Draw55%1.83
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.519%5.23
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.59%11.54
Degerfors IF clean sheet47%2.14
Kalmar FF clean sheet30%3.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.1%
0-015.0%
1-113.6%
2-010.1%
0-110.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?

Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF is Degerfors IF to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Degerfors IF to score 1.2 goals and Kalmar FF 0.8.

Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Degerfors IF last 20 games and 8 of Kalmar FF last 20.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Degerfors IF and Kalmar FF last met?

It ended Kalmar FF 2, Degerfors IF 1. In the last 1 meeting Degerfors IF won 0 and Kalmar FF won 1.

What is the best bet for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Degerfors against Kalmar FF. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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