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Predictions › Sweden › Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK
AllsvenskanWed 28 Oct, 18:00 Sweden time

Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK prediction

Stora Valla

Degerfors IFHome
1.32 : 1.27
expected goals
Västerås SKAway
37%Degerfors
28%Draw
35%Västerås
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK is Degerfors IF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Degerfors IF to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Degerfors IF 1.3, Västerås SK 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Degerfors IF 37%, the draw 28% and Västerås SK 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Degerfors IF took 4 points from their last 5 games and Västerås SK took 9 from 5. Västerås SK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Degerfors IF won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Västerås SK won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Degerfors IF score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Västerås SK score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Degerfors IF games and 9 of Västerås SK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Degerfors IF won 0 and Västerås SK won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Västerås SK 2, Degerfors IF 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Degerforsrecent form-3%
  • Västeråsrest between games-5%
Degerfors form D L L W LVästerås form D L W W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK: Degerfors IF shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Degerfors IF host Västerås SK in the Allsvenskan on Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 at Stora Valla. Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK is Degerfors IF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Degerfors IF won 0, Västerås SK won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Västerås SK 2, Degerfors IF 0.

Our call

We expect Degerfors IF to score about 1.3 goals and Västerås SK about 1.3. That points to Degerfors IF to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DegerforsVästerås
Games played2020
Wins410
Draws53
Losses117
Goals scored1728
Goals conceded3127
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record3W 2D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 3D 7L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets10%35%
Both teams scored45%35%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.84
Both teams to score53%1.87
Degerfors IF or Draw65%1.54
Västerås SK or Draw63%1.59
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.521%4.67
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.520%4.99
Degerfors IF clean sheet28%3.56
Västerås SK clean sheet27%3.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-09.2%
0-18.8%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK?

Our prediction for Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK is Degerfors IF to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Degerfors IF to score 1.3 goals and Västerås SK 1.3.

Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Degerfors IF last 20 games and 7 of Västerås SK last 20.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Västerås SK playing?

Västerås SK have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Degerfors IF and Västerås SK last met?

It ended Västerås SK 2, Degerfors IF 0. In the last 1 meeting Degerfors IF won 0 and Västerås SK won 1.

What is the best bet for Degerfors IF vs Västerås SK?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Degerfors against Västerås. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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