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Predictions › United States › Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United States time

Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction

Aggie Memorial Stadium

Delaware Blue HensAway
26.6 : 28.6
projected points
New Mexico State AggiesHome
50%Delaware
50%New Mexico St
Eagle safe pickDelaware +12.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Delaware Blue Hens 26.6 and New Mexico State Aggies 28.6. Our best bet is Delaware +12.5 at -304.

Prediction
New Mexico State Aggies to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Delaware Blue Hens 27, New Mexico State Aggies 29
Projected total
55.2 points
Best bet
Delaware +12.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Delaware +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Delaware to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Mexico State Aggies 50% and Delaware Blue Hens 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Mexico State Aggies won 2 of their last 5 and Delaware Blue Hens won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Mexico State Aggies won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Delaware Blue Hens won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Mexico State Aggies score 21.3 points a game and let in 28.7. Delaware Blue Hens score 30.4 and let in 30.9. Their recent games average 50.1 and 61.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Delaware +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies: New Mexico State Aggies shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Mexico State Aggies host Delaware Blue Hens in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Delaware Blue Hens 26.6 and New Mexico State Aggies 28.6. Our best bet is Delaware +12.5 at -304.

New Mexico State Aggies form

New Mexico State Aggies have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 405 points scored and 546 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Delaware Blue Hens form

Delaware Blue Hens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 608 points scored and 617 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Delaware Blue Hens to score about 26.6 points and New Mexico State Aggies about 28.6. That points to New Mexico State Aggies to win. Our safest bet is Delaware +12.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Delaware to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

New Mexico StDelaware
Games played1920
Wins510
Losses1410
Points scored405608
Points conceded546617
Scored per game21.330.4
Conceded per game28.730.9
Home record3W 6L8W 2L
Away record2W 8L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

New Mexico St spreadCoversFair
New Mexico St -9.532%+211
New Mexico St -5.541%+141
New Mexico St -2.549%+104
New Mexico St +0.556%-129
New Mexico St +4.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. New Mexico St +3.5 wins if New Mexico St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies?

Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Delaware Blue Hens 26.6 and New Mexico State Aggies 28.6. Our best bet is Delaware +12.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies?

We project Delaware Blue Hens 26.6 and New Mexico State Aggies 28.6, about 55.2 points in total.

How are New Mexico State Aggies playing?

New Mexico State Aggies have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 405 points scored and 546 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Delaware Blue Hens playing?

Delaware Blue Hens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 608 points scored and 617 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Delaware Blue Hens vs New Mexico State Aggies?

Delaware +12.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New Mexico St against Delaware. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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