Predictions › United States › Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
College FootballTue 27 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Delaware Blue HensAway
18.6 : 37.4
projected points
Western Kentucky HilltoppersHome
12%Delaware
88%Western KY
Eagle safe pickOver 45.5 points
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, with a 88% chance. We project Delaware Blue Hens 18.6 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 37.4. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -302.

Prediction
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win
Chance
88%
Projected score
Delaware Blue Hens 19, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 37
Projected total
55.9 points
Best bet
Over 45.5 points at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 45.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 88% and Delaware Blue Hens 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 3 of their last 5 and Delaware Blue Hens won 1 of their last 5. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 5 of their last 6 games at home. Delaware Blue Hens won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Western Kentucky Hilltoppers score 24.5 points a game and let in 25.6. Delaware Blue Hens score 27.8 and let in 30.4. Their recent games average 50.1 and 58.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1 and Delaware Blue Hens won 0. The last one ended Delaware Blue Hens 24, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 45.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are favourites

The big picture

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers host Delaware Blue Hens in the College Football on Tue 27 Oct, 19:00 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, with a 88% chance. We project Delaware Blue Hens 18.6 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 37.4. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -302.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers form

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 416 points scored and 436 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Delaware Blue Hens form

Delaware Blue Hens have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 472 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1, Delaware Blue Hens won 0. Last time out it finished Delaware Blue Hens 24, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27.

Our call

We expect Delaware Blue Hens to score about 18.6 points and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers about 37.4. That points to Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win. Our safest bet is Over 45.5 points at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Western KYDelaware
Games played1717
Wins108
Losses79
Points scored416472
Points conceded436516
Scored per game24.527.8
Conceded per game25.630.4
Home record5W 1L7W 2L
Away record5W 6L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Western KY spreadCoversFair
Western KY -25.534%+197
Western KY -21.543%+131
Western KY -18.551%-103
Western KY -15.558%-139
Western KY -11.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
48.568%32%
52.559%41%
55.551%49%
58.544%56%
62.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Western KY +3.5 wins if Western KY win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win, with a 88% chance. We project Delaware Blue Hens 18.6 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 37.4. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -302.

What is the projected score for Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

We project Delaware Blue Hens 18.6 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 37.4, about 55.9 points in total.

How are Western Kentucky Hilltoppers playing?

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 416 points scored and 436 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Delaware Blue Hens playing?

Delaware Blue Hens have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 472 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Delaware Blue Hens last met?

It ended Delaware Blue Hens 24, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 27. In the last 1 meeting Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 1 and Delaware Blue Hens won 0.

What is the best bet for Delaware Blue Hens vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

Over 45.5 points at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Western KY against Delaware. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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