Predictions › United States › Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals
NFLSun 25 Oct, 16:05 United States time

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals prediction

State Farm Stadium

Denver BroncosAway
26.0 : 19.6
projected points
Arizona CardinalsHome
70%Broncos
30%Cardinals
Eagle safe pickBroncos to win
-245

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals is Denver Broncos to win, with a 70% chance. We project Denver Broncos 26.0 and Arizona Cardinals 19.6. Our best bet is Broncos to win at -245.

Prediction
Denver Broncos to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Denver Broncos 26, Arizona Cardinals 20
Projected total
45.6 points
Best bet
Broncos to win at -245

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Broncos to win
69% chancePrice -2451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona Cardinals 30% and Denver Broncos 70%. The bookmakers agree and make Denver Broncos the favourite at -245.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona Cardinals won 1 of their last 5 and Denver Broncos won 3 of their last 5. Denver Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona Cardinals won 0 of their last 9 games at home. Denver Broncos won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona Cardinals score 22.1 points a game and let in 32.3. Denver Broncos score 22.4 and let in 19.1. Their recent games average 54.4 and 41.5 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Broncos to win has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cardinalsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals: Denver Broncos are favourites

The big picture

Arizona Cardinals host Denver Broncos in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 16:05 at State Farm Stadium. Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals is Denver Broncos to win, with a 70% chance. We project Denver Broncos 26.0 and Arizona Cardinals 19.6. Our best bet is Broncos to win at -245.

Arizona Cardinals form

Arizona Cardinals have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 441 points scored and 646 conceded. At home they have 0 wins and 9 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Denver Broncos form

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 449 points scored and 381 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Denver Broncos to score about 26.0 points and Arizona Cardinals about 19.6. That points to Denver Broncos to win. Our safest bet is Broncos to win at -245.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CardinalsBroncos
Games played2020
Wins315
Losses175
Points scored441449
Points conceded646381
Scored per game22.122.4
Conceded per game32.319.1
Home record0W 9L9W 3L
Away record3W 8L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Cardinals to win30%+230+200-9.1%
Broncos to win69%-219-245-3.3%
Cardinals +5.547%+114-110-10.6%
Broncos -5.550%-102-110-3.6%
Over 45.5 points49%+105-110-6.9%
Under 45.5 points49%+106-110-7.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Cardinals spreadCoversFair
Cardinals -0.530%+228
Cardinals +3.541%+141
Cardinals +6.550%-101
Cardinals +9.559%-144
Cardinals +13.570%-234
Total pointsOverUnder
38.571%29%
42.559%41%
45.550%50%
48.541%59%
52.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cardinals +3.5 wins if Cardinals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals?

Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals is Denver Broncos to win, with a 70% chance. We project Denver Broncos 26.0 and Arizona Cardinals 19.6. Our best bet is Broncos to win at -245.

What is the projected score for Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals?

We project Denver Broncos 26.0 and Arizona Cardinals 19.6, about 45.6 points in total.

How are Arizona Cardinals playing?

Arizona Cardinals have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 441 points scored and 646 conceded. At home they have 0 wins and 9 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Denver Broncos playing?

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 449 points scored and 381 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals?

Broncos to win at -245, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cardinals against Broncos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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