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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets
NBAMon 9 Nov, 20:30 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets prediction

Toyota Center (Houston)

Denver NuggetsAway
111.8 : 114.3
projected points
Houston RocketsHome
47%Nuggets
53%Rockets
Eagle safe pickRockets +5.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Nuggets 111.8 and Houston Rockets 114.3. Our best bet is Rockets +5.5 at -300.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 112, Houston Rockets 114
Projected total
226.2 points
Best bet
Rockets +5.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rockets +5.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nuggets to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Rockets 53% and Denver Nuggets 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Rockets won 4 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5. Houston Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Rockets won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Rockets score 114.8 points a game and let in 108.3. Denver Nuggets score 116.5 and let in 115.5. Their recent games average 223.1 and 231.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Houston Rockets won 1 and Denver Nuggets won 3. The last one ended Denver Nuggets 129, Houston Rockets 93.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rockets +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
  • Nuggetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets: Houston Rockets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Rockets host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Mon 9 Nov, 20:30 at Toyota Center (Houston). Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Nuggets 111.8 and Houston Rockets 114.3. Our best bet is Rockets +5.5 at -300.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2297 points scored and 2165 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2330 points scored and 2309 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Houston Rockets won 1, Denver Nuggets won 3. Last time out it finished Denver Nuggets 129, Houston Rockets 93.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 111.8 points and Houston Rockets about 114.3. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Rockets +5.5 at -300. Our bold bet is Nuggets to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RocketsNuggets
Games played2020
Wins1312
Losses78
Points scored22972330
Points conceded21652309
Scored per game114.8116.5
Conceded per game108.3115.5
Home record6W 4L8W 3L
Away record7W 3L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockets spreadCoversFair
Rockets -8.532%+217
Rockets -5.541%+147
Rockets -2.550%+100
Rockets +0.559%-147
Rockets +3.568%-217
Total pointsOverUnder
220.562%38%
223.556%44%
226.549%51%
229.543%57%
232.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockets +3.5 wins if Rockets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kevin Durant reflects on his eight years with the Thunder

Kevin Durant spoke about his time in Oklahoma City, the crowd support, and his connection to the community.

17 hours ago
NBA

Nikola Jokic Hits Milestone as Denver Sweeps New Orleans

Nikola Jokic earned his 200th triple-double as the Denver Nuggets secured a 104-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans.

29 Oct 2026
NBA

Jokic and Murray Lead Nuggets Back From 23 Down to Beat Pelicans

Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray powered Denver past New Orleans 141-135 in overtime after trailing by 23 points on Saturday.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Nuggets 111.8 and Houston Rockets 114.3. Our best bet is Rockets +5.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets?

We project Denver Nuggets 111.8 and Houston Rockets 114.3, about 226.2 points in total.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2297 points scored and 2165 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2330 points scored and 2309 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended Denver Nuggets 129, Houston Rockets 93. In the last 4 meetings Houston Rockets won 1 and Denver Nuggets won 3.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets?

Rockets +5.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockets against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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