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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers
NBASat 7 Nov, 17:00 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Arena CDMX

Denver NuggetsAway
122.5 : 114.8
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
74%Nuggets
26%Pacers
Eagle safe pickNuggets +0.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 122.5 and Indiana Pacers 114.8. Our best bet is Nuggets +0.5 at -305.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 122, Indiana Pacers 115
Projected total
237.2 points
Best bet
Nuggets +0.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets +0.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pacers to win
26% chanceFair price +2911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 26% and Denver Nuggets 74%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 118.7 points a game and let in 119.5. Denver Nuggets score 117.8 and let in 116.8. Their recent games average 238.2 and 234.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 2. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 120, Denver Nuggets 135.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-2%
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Sat 7 Nov, 17:00 at Arena CDMX. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 122.5 and Indiana Pacers 114.8. Our best bet is Nuggets +0.5 at -305.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2373 points scored and 2390 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2356 points scored and 2335 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 0, Denver Nuggets won 2. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 120, Denver Nuggets 135.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 122.5 points and Indiana Pacers about 114.8. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets +0.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Pacers to win at +291.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PacersNuggets
Games played2020
Wins712
Losses138
Points scored23732356
Points conceded23902335
Scored per game118.7117.8
Conceded per game119.5116.8
Home record2W 8L8W 3L
Away record5W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers +1.531%+222
Pacers +4.540%+150
Pacers +7.549%+102
Pacers +10.559%-144
Pacers +13.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
231.562%38%
234.556%44%
237.549%51%
240.543%57%
243.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Jokic and Murray Lead Nuggets Back From 23 Down to Beat Pelicans

Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray powered Denver past New Orleans 141-135 in overtime after trailing by 23 points on Saturday.

25 Oct 2026
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Return Leads Pacers Past Pelicans

Tyrese Haliburton scored 23 points in his return from an Achilles injury as the Indiana Pacers beat the New Orleans Pelicans 123-120.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

Julian Strawther Out Six Weeks With Left Knee Injury

Denver Nuggets guard Julian Strawther sprained his left knee during a preseason game against the Clippers and will be re-evaluated in six weeks.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 122.5 and Indiana Pacers 114.8. Our best bet is Nuggets +0.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Denver Nuggets 122.5 and Indiana Pacers 114.8, about 237.2 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2373 points scored and 2390 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2356 points scored and 2335 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 120, Denver Nuggets 135. In the last 2 meetings Indiana Pacers won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 2.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers?

Nuggets +0.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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