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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers
NBAFri 16 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction

crypto.com Arena

Denver NuggetsAway
118.0 : 116.3
projected points
Los Angeles LakersHome
58%Nuggets
42%Lakers
Eagle safe pickNuggets +6.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 58% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 118.0 and Los Angeles Lakers 116.3. Our best bet is Nuggets +6.5 at -300.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 118, Los Angeles Lakers 116
Projected total
234.4 points
Best bet
Nuggets +6.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lakers to win
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Lakers 42% and Denver Nuggets 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Lakers won 1 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 2 of their last 5. Denver Nuggets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Lakers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Lakers score 107.8 points a game and let in 109.5. Denver Nuggets score 121.0 and let in 116.0. Their recent games average 217.3 and 237.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Los Angeles Lakers won 2 and Denver Nuggets won 1. The last one ended Los Angeles Lakers 127, Denver Nuggets 125.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lakersrest between games-5%
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Los Angeles Lakers host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 22:30 at crypto.com Arena. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 58% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 118.0 and Los Angeles Lakers 116.3. Our best bet is Nuggets +6.5 at -300.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2156 points scored and 2191 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2420 points scored and 2321 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Los Angeles Lakers won 2, Denver Nuggets won 1. Last time out it finished Los Angeles Lakers 127, Denver Nuggets 125.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 118.0 points and Los Angeles Lakers about 116.3. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets +6.5 at -300. Our bold bet is Lakers to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LakersNuggets
Games played2020
Wins1015
Losses105
Points scored21562420
Points conceded21912321
Scored per game107.8121.0
Conceded per game109.5116.0
Home record6W 4L11W 2L
Away record4W 6L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lakers spreadCoversFair
Lakers -4.531%+222
Lakers -1.540%+150
Lakers +1.549%+102
Lakers +4.559%-143
Lakers +7.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
228.563%37%
231.556%44%
234.550%50%
237.543%57%
240.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lakers +3.5 wins if Lakers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Bronny James Speaks Out After Father LeBron Leaves Lakers for Sixers

Bronny James says he did not talk much with his father LeBron about his move to Philly, but he is excited to face him on Christmas Day.

29 Sept 2026
NBA

Voice of the Lakers Lawrence Tanter Dies After 43 Years with Team

The Los Angeles Lakers announced the passing of Lawrence Tanter, the legendary public address announcer who spent 43 years behind the microphone.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 58% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 118.0 and Los Angeles Lakers 116.3. Our best bet is Nuggets +6.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers?

We project Denver Nuggets 118.0 and Los Angeles Lakers 116.3, about 234.4 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2156 points scored and 2191 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2420 points scored and 2321 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended Los Angeles Lakers 127, Denver Nuggets 125. In the last 3 meetings Los Angeles Lakers won 2 and Denver Nuggets won 1.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Nuggets +6.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lakers against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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