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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz
NBATue 6 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz prediction

Delta Center

Denver NuggetsAway
129.8 : 121.4
projected points
Utah JazzHome
76%Nuggets
24%Jazz
Eagle safe pickNuggets to win
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 76% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 129.8 and Utah Jazz 121.4. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -309.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 130, Utah Jazz 121
Projected total
251.2 points
Best bet
Nuggets to win at -309

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets to win
76% chanceFair price -3092 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Utah Jazz 24% and Denver Nuggets 76%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Utah Jazz won 1 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Utah Jazz won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Utah Jazz score 117.5 points a game and let in 127.8. Denver Nuggets score 122.4 and let in 116.3. Their recent games average 245.3 and 238.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Utah Jazz won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 4. The last one ended Utah Jazz 117, Denver Nuggets 130.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jazzrest between games-3%
  • Nuggetsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Utah Jazz host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Tue 6 Oct, 21:00 at Delta Center. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 76% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 129.8 and Utah Jazz 121.4. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -309.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2350 points scored and 2555 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2448 points scored and 2327 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Utah Jazz won 0, Denver Nuggets won 4. Last time out it finished Utah Jazz 117, Denver Nuggets 130.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 129.8 points and Utah Jazz about 121.4. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets to win at -309.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JazzNuggets
Games played2020
Wins415
Losses165
Points scored23502448
Points conceded25552327
Scored per game117.5122.4
Conceded per game127.8116.3
Home record3W 6L12W 1L
Away record1W 10L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Jazz spreadCoversFair
Jazz +2.532%+214
Jazz +5.541%+145
Jazz +8.550%-101
Jazz +11.560%-148
Jazz +14.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
245.562%38%
248.556%44%
251.549%51%
254.543%57%
257.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jazz +3.5 wins if Jazz win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 76% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 129.8 and Utah Jazz 121.4. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -309.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz?

We project Denver Nuggets 129.8 and Utah Jazz 121.4, about 251.2 points in total.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2350 points scored and 2555 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2448 points scored and 2327 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended Utah Jazz 117, Denver Nuggets 130. In the last 4 meetings Utah Jazz won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 4.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz?

Nuggets to win at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jazz against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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