Predictions › Chile › Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano

Chilean Primera DivisionMon 2 Nov, 21:00 Chile time

Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano prediction

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán

Deportes LimacheHome

1.79 : 0.93

expected goals

Audax ItalianoAway

57%Limache

24%Draw

19%Audax Italiano

Eagle safe pickDeportes Limache or Draw

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano is Deportes Limache to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Deportes Limache or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction: Deportes Limache to win
Chance: 57%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Deportes Limache 1.8, Audax Italiano 0.9
Best bet: Deportes Limache or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportes Limache or Draw

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportes Limache to win and Over 2.5

35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportes Limache 57%, the draw 24% and Audax Italiano 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Deportes Limache took 7 points from their last 5 games and Audax Italiano took 8 from 5. Audax Italiano come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Deportes Limache won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Audax Italiano won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportes Limache score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Audax Italiano score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Deportes Limache games and 11 of Audax Italiano games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportes Limache won 0 and Audax Italiano won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Audax Italiano 2, Deportes Limache 2.
6
The safest bet
Deportes Limache or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Audax Italianorest between games-3%

Limache form D L W W LAudax Italiano form L D W W LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano: Deportes Limache are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportes Limache host Audax Italiano in the Chilean Primera Division on Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 at Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán. Our prediction for Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano is Deportes Limache to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Deportes Limache or Draw at 1.23.

Deportes Limache form

Deportes Limache have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Audax Italiano form

Audax Italiano have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportes Limache won 0, Audax Italiano won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Audax Italiano 2, Deportes Limache 2.

Our call

We expect Deportes Limache to score about 1.8 goals and Audax Italiano about 0.9. That points to Deportes Limache to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportes Limache or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Deportes Limache to win and Over 2.5 at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Limache	Audax Italiano
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	6
Draws	2	6
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	37	23
Goals conceded	32	30
Scored per game	1.9	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.5
Home record	5W 1D 4L	4W 4D 3L
Away record	3W 1D 6L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.46
Both teams to score	51%	1.96
Deportes Limache or Draw	81%	1.23
Audax Italiano or Draw	43%	2.33
Deportes Limache to win and Over 2.5	35%	2.84
Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.76
Deportes Limache clean sheet	40%	2.52
Audax Italiano clean sheet	17%	5.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

1-011.2%

2-010.6%

2-19.8%

0-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

Our prediction for Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano is Deportes Limache to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Deportes Limache or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Deportes Limache to score 1.8 goals and Audax Italiano 0.9.

Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Deportes Limache last 20 games and 10 of Audax Italiano last 20.

How are Deportes Limache playing?

How are Audax Italiano playing?

What happened when Deportes Limache and Audax Italiano last met?

It ended Audax Italiano 2, Deportes Limache 2. In the last 1 meeting Deportes Limache won 0 and Audax Italiano won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

Deportes Limache or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Limache against Audax Italiano. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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