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Predictions › Colombia › Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC
Colombian Primera ASat 3 Oct, 21:05 Colombia time

Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC prediction

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Deportes TolimaHome
2.29 : 0.48
expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FCAway
78%Tolima
16%Draw
6%Chicó FC
Eagle safe pickDeportes Tolima to win
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Deportes Tolima to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30.

Prediction
Deportes Tolima to win
Chance
78%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Deportes Tolima 2.3, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.5
Best bet
Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportes Tolima to win
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportes Tolima to win and Over 2.5
45% chanceFair price 2.241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportes Tolima 78%, the draw 16% and Boyacá Chicó FC 6%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportes Tolima took 5 points from their last 5 games and Boyacá Chicó FC took 9 from 5. Boyacá Chicó FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportes Tolima won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportes Tolima score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Deportes Tolima games and 10 of Boyacá Chicó FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 1 and Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Boyacá Chicó FC 1, Deportes Tolima 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Deportes Tolima to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tolimarecent form-1%
  • Chicó FCrecent form+1%
  • Tolimarest between games-5%
  • Chicó FCrest between games-2%
Tolima form D D L L WChicó FC form W L L W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC: Deportes Tolima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportes Tolima host Boyacá Chicó FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 3 Oct, 21:05 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Our prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Deportes Tolima to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30.

Deportes Tolima form

Deportes Tolima have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Deportes Tolima won 1, Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Boyacá Chicó FC 1, Deportes Tolima 1.

Our call

We expect Deportes Tolima to score about 2.3 goals and Boyacá Chicó FC about 0.5. That points to Deportes Tolima to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30. Our bold bet is Deportes Tolima to win and Over 2.5 at 2.24.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TolimaChicó FC
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws43
Losses810
Goals scored2318
Goals conceded2434
Scored per game1.10.9
Conceded per game1.21.7
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 2D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L0W 1D 9L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored50%25%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.31
Both teams to score35%2.87
Deportes Tolima or Draw94%1.06
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw22%4.56
Deportes Tolima to win and Over 2.548%2.09
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.52%40.37
Deportes Tolima clean sheet62%1.62
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet10%9.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-016.4%
1-013.9%
3-012.5%
2-17.9%
1-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Our prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC is Deportes Tolima to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Deportes Tolima to score 2.3 goals and Boyacá Chicó FC 0.5.

Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Deportes Tolima last 20 games and 5 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20.

How are Deportes Tolima playing?

Deportes Tolima have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

Boyacá Chicó FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Deportes Tolima and Boyacá Chicó FC last met?

It ended Boyacá Chicó FC 1, Deportes Tolima 1. In the last 2 meetings Deportes Tolima won 1 and Boyacá Chicó FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC?

Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tolima against Chicó FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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