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Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC
Colombian Primera ASat 3 Oct, 00:45 Colombia time

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC prediction

Deportivo Cali

Deportivo CaliHome
1.50 : 0.59
expected goals
Alianza FCAway
59%Cali
27%Draw
14%Alianza FC
Eagle safe pickDeportivo Cali or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Deportivo Cali to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Deportivo Cali 1.5, Alianza FC 0.6
Best bet
Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportivo Cali or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Cali 59%, the draw 27% and Alianza FC 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Cali took 13 points from their last 5 games and Alianza FC took 9 from 5. Deportivo Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Cali won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Alianza FC won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Cali score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.7. Alianza FC score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Deportivo Cali games and 10 of Alianza FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 0 and Alianza FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Alianza FC 1, Deportivo Cali 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Deportivo Cali or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Calirecent form+6%
  • Alianza FCrecent form+1%
  • Calirest between games-5%
  • Alianza FCrest between games-5%
Cali form W W W W DAlianza FC form W L W W LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC: Deportivo Cali are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Cali host Alianza FC in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 3 Oct, 00:45 at Deportivo Cali. Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.20.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Alianza FC form

Alianza FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Deportivo Cali won 0, Alianza FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Alianza FC 1, Deportivo Cali 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Cali to score about 1.5 goals and Alianza FC about 0.6. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5 at 3.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CaliAlianza FC
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws65
Losses49
Goals scored2619
Goals conceded1429
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game0.71.4
Home record5W 4D 0L3W 4D 5L
Away record5W 2D 4L3W 1D 4L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals25%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.88
Over 3.5 goals16%6.28
Both teams to score35%2.84
Deportivo Cali or Draw86%1.16
Alianza FC or Draw41%2.43
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.527%3.70
Alianza FC to win and Over 2.55%19.75
Deportivo Cali clean sheet55%1.80
Alianza FC clean sheet22%4.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.9%
2-013.9%
0-013.0%
1-111.6%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC?

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Cali to score 1.5 goals and Alianza FC 0.6.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20 games and 10 of Alianza FC last 20.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Alianza FC playing?

Alianza FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Cali and Alianza FC last met?

It ended Alianza FC 1, Deportivo Cali 0. In the last 2 meetings Deportivo Cali won 0 and Alianza FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza FC?

Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cali against Alianza FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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