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Colombian Primera AMon 19 Oct, 01:10 Colombia time

Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior prediction

Deportivo Cali

Deportivo CaliHome
1.75 : 0.88
expected goals
Atlético JuniorAway
57%Cali
25%Draw
18%Atl. Junior
Eagle safe pickDeportivo Cali or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Deportivo Cali to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Deportivo Cali 1.8, Atlético Junior 0.9
Best bet
Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportivo Cali or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Cali 57%, the draw 25% and Atlético Junior 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Cali took 15 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Junior took 6 from 5. Deportivo Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Cali won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Atlético Junior won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Cali score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. Atlético Junior score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Deportivo Cali games and 10 of Atlético Junior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Cali won 1 and Atlético Junior won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Junior 1, Deportivo Cali 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Deportivo Cali or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Calirecent form+7%
  • Atl. Juniorrecent form-1%
Cali form W W W W WAtl. Junior form L L W W LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior: Deportivo Cali are favourites

The big picture

Deportivo Cali host Atlético Junior in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 19 Oct, 01:10 at Deportivo Cali. Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.26.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Cali won 1, Atlético Junior won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Junior 1, Deportivo Cali 2.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Cali to score about 1.8 goals and Atlético Junior about 0.9. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5 at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CaliAtl. Junior
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws66
Losses49
Goals scored2727
Goals conceded1531
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record6W 4D 0L3W 5D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.72
Both teams to score49%2.05
Deportivo Cali or Draw82%1.22
Atlético Junior or Draw43%2.34
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.534%2.93
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.59%10.54
Deportivo Cali clean sheet42%2.40
Atlético Junior clean sheet17%5.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.0%
1-111.8%
2-011.1%
2-19.7%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior?

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Deportivo Cali to score 1.8 goals and Atlético Junior 0.9.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Deportivo Cali last 20 games and 12 of Atlético Junior last 20.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Cali and Atlético Junior last met?

It ended Atlético Junior 1, Deportivo Cali 2. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Cali won 1 and Atlético Junior won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Junior?

Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cali against Atl. Junior. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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