Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo

Colombian Primera ASat 19 Sept, 23:10 Colombia time

Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo prediction

Deportivo Cali

Deportivo CaliHome

1.59 : 0.80

expected goals

Cúcuta DeportivoAway

55%Cali

26%Draw

18%Cúcuta

Eagle safe pickDeportivo Cali or Draw

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction: Deportivo Cali to win
Chance: 55%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Deportivo Cali 1.6, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.8
Best bet: Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportivo Cali or Draw

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportivo Cali 55%, the draw 26% and Cúcuta Deportivo 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Deportivo Cali took 6 points from their last 5 games and Cúcuta Deportivo took 8 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Deportivo Cali won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Cúcuta Deportivo won 1 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportivo Cali score 1.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Deportivo Cali games and 8 of Cúcuta Deportivo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Cali won 1 and Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cúcuta Deportivo 0, Deportivo Cali 2.
6
The safest bet
Deportivo Cali or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Calirecent form-3%
Cúcutarecent form+1%
Calirest between games-2%

Cali form D L D L DCúcuta form D L W W DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo: Deportivo Cali are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Cali host Cúcuta Deportivo in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 19 Sept, 23:10 at Deportivo Cali. Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.18.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Cali won 1, Cúcuta Deportivo won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cúcuta Deportivo 0, Deportivo Cali 2.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Cali to score about 1.6 goals and Cúcuta Deportivo about 0.8. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cali	Cúcuta
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	8	7
Losses	5	8
Goals scored	20	21
Goals conceded	16	34
Scored per game	1.0	1.1
Conceded per game	0.8	1.7
Home record	4W 5D 1L	4W 3D 1L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	1W 4D 7L
Clean sheets	35%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	15%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.43
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.33
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.53
Both teams to score	45%	2.24
Deportivo Cali or Draw	82%	1.22
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw	45%	2.24
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.32
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.5	9%	11.67
Deportivo Cali clean sheet	45%	2.23
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	20%	4.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.8%

1-112.3%

2-011.6%

0-09.8%

2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Deportivo Cali to score 1.6 goals and Cúcuta Deportivo 0.8.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20 games and 10 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

What happened when Deportivo Cali and Cúcuta Deportivo last met?

It ended Cúcuta Deportivo 0, Deportivo Cali 2. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Cali won 1 and Cúcuta Deportivo won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cali against Cúcuta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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