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Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 20:30 Colombia time

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima prediction

Deportivo Cali

Deportivo CaliHome
1.35 : 0.71
expected goals
Deportes TolimaAway
51%Cali
30%Draw
19%Tolima
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Deportivo Cali to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Deportivo Cali 1.4, Deportes Tolima 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Cali 51%, the draw 30% and Deportes Tolima 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Cali took 9 points from their last 5 games and Deportes Tolima took 2 from 5. Deportivo Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Cali won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Deportes Tolima won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Cali score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.7. Deportes Tolima score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Deportivo Cali games and 11 of Deportes Tolima games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 0 and Deportes Tolima won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportes Tolima 1, Deportivo Cali 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Calirecent form+3%
  • Tolimarecent form-3%
Cali form D W D D WTolima form D L L D DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima: Deportivo Cali are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Cali host Deportes Tolima in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 at Deportivo Cali. Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Deportes Tolima form

Deportes Tolima have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Deportivo Cali won 0, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportes Tolima 1, Deportivo Cali 1.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Cali to score about 1.4 goals and Deportes Tolima about 0.7. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CaliTolima
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws86
Losses39
Goals scored2720
Goals conceded1326
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game0.71.3
Home record5W 4D 0L3W 3D 3L
Away record4W 4D 3L2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.94
Over 3.5 goals15%6.48
Both teams to score38%2.60
Deportivo Cali or Draw81%1.23
Deportes Tolima or Draw49%2.05
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.523%4.29
Deportes Tolima to win and Over 2.57%13.46
Deportivo Cali clean sheet49%2.04
Deportes Tolima clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.4%
0-013.5%
1-113.0%
2-011.6%
0-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Our prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Deportivo Cali to score 1.4 goals and Deportes Tolima 0.7.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20 games and 12 of Deportes Tolima last 20.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Deportes Tolima playing?

Deportes Tolima have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima last met?

It ended Deportes Tolima 1, Deportivo Cali 1. In the last 2 meetings Deportivo Cali won 0 and Deportes Tolima won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cali against Tolima. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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