Predictions › Peru › Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas

Peruvian Liga 1Sun 25 Oct, 23:00 Peru time

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Deportivo GarcilasoHome

2.38 : 0.68

expected goals

Los ChankasAway

75%Garcilaso

17%Draw

8%Los Chankas

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas is Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso to win
Chance: 75%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Deportivo Garcilaso 2.4, Los Chankas 0.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Garcilaso to win and both score

28% chanceFair price 3.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportivo Garcilaso 75%, the draw 17% and Los Chankas 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Deportivo Garcilaso took 9 points from their last 5 games and Los Chankas took 2 from 5. Deportivo Garcilaso come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Deportivo Garcilaso won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Los Chankas won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Los Chankas score 0.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Deportivo Garcilaso games and 10 of Los Chankas games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 and Los Chankas won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Los Chankas 0, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Garcilasorecent form+3%
Los Chankasrecent form-4%

Garcilaso form D W L W WLos Chankas form D D L L LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas: Deportivo Garcilaso are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Garcilaso host Los Chankas in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 25 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas is Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Deportivo Garcilaso form

Deportivo Garcilaso have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Garcilaso won 1, Los Chankas won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Los Chankas 0, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Garcilaso to score about 2.4 goals and Los Chankas about 0.7. That points to Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Deportivo Garcilaso to win and both score at 3.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Garcilaso	Los Chankas
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	6
Draws	2	5
Losses	5	9
Goals scored	33	19
Goals conceded	17	35
Scored per game	1.6	0.9
Conceded per game	0.8	1.8
Home record	10W 0D 1L	5W 1D 4L
Away record	3W 2D 4L	1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	45%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.74
Both teams to score	45%	2.22
Deportivo Garcilaso or Draw	92%	1.09
Los Chankas or Draw	25%	3.97
Deportivo Garcilaso to win and Over 2.5	51%	1.97
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.5	4%	22.25
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	51%	1.97
Los Chankas clean sheet	9%	10.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.3%

1-010.8%

3-010.6%

2-19.0%

1-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas?

Our prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas is Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2.4 goals and Los Chankas 0.7.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Garcilaso last 20 games and 8 of Los Chankas last 20.

How are Deportivo Garcilaso playing?

How are Los Chankas playing?

What happened when Deportivo Garcilaso and Los Chankas last met?

It ended Los Chankas 0, Deportivo Garcilaso 1. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 and Los Chankas won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Garcilaso against Los Chankas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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