Predictions › Peru › Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo

Peruvian Liga 1Sat 10 Oct, 01:00 Peru time

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Deportivo GarcilasoHome

2.43 : 1.08

expected goals

Sport HuancayoAway

66%Garcilaso

19%Draw

15%Huancayo

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo is Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso to win
Chance: 66%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Deportivo Garcilaso 2.4, Sport Huancayo 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Garcilaso to win and both score

34% chanceFair price 2.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportivo Garcilaso 66%, the draw 19% and Sport Huancayo 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Deportivo Garcilaso took 12 points from their last 5 games and Sport Huancayo took 12 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Deportivo Garcilaso won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Sport Huancayo won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Sport Huancayo score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Deportivo Garcilaso games and 14 of Sport Huancayo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 and Sport Huancayo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sport Huancayo 2, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Garcilasorecent form+4%
Huancayorecent form+4%

Garcilaso form W L W W WHuancayo form W W W W LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo: Deportivo Garcilaso are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Garcilaso host Sport Huancayo in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 10 Oct, 01:00 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo is Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Deportivo Garcilaso form

Deportivo Garcilaso have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Sport Huancayo form

Sport Huancayo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Garcilaso won 0, Sport Huancayo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sport Huancayo 2, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Garcilaso to score about 2.4 goals and Sport Huancayo about 1.1. That points to Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Deportivo Garcilaso to win and both score at 2.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Garcilaso	Huancayo
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	8
Draws	3	4
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	33	29
Goals conceded	16	35
Scored per game	1.6	1.4
Conceded per game	0.8	1.8
Home record	10W 0D 0L	5W 3D 1L
Away record	3W 3D 4L	3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	50%	15%
Both teams scored	40%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	87%	1.15
Over 2.5 goals	68%	1.47
Over 3.5 goals	47%	2.15
Both teams to score	61%	1.64
Deportivo Garcilaso or Draw	85%	1.17
Sport Huancayo or Draw	34%	2.98
Deportivo Garcilaso to win and Over 2.5	51%	1.97
Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.74
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	34%	2.96
Sport Huancayo clean sheet	9%	11.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.5%

2-08.8%

1-18.3%

3-17.7%

3-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

Our prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo is Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2.4 goals and Sport Huancayo 1.1.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Garcilaso last 20 games and 15 of Sport Huancayo last 20.

How are Deportivo Garcilaso playing?

How are Sport Huancayo playing?

What happened when Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo last met?

It ended Sport Huancayo 2, Deportivo Garcilaso 1. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 and Sport Huancayo won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Garcilaso against Huancayo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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