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Predictions › Uruguay › Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 3 Oct, 21:00 Uruguay time

Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club prediction

Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Deportivo MaldonadoHome
1.63 : 0.56
expected goals
Central Español Fútbol ClubAway
63%Maldonado
25%Draw
12%Central Español
Eagle safe pickDeportivo Maldonado or Draw
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.17.

Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Deportivo Maldonado 1.6, Central Español Fútbol Club 0.6
Best bet
Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.17
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportivo Maldonado or Draw
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Maldonado 63%, the draw 25% and Central Español Fútbol Club 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Maldonado took 9 points from their last 5 games and Central Español Fútbol Club took 2 from 5. Deportivo Maldonado come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Maldonado won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Maldonado score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Central Español Fútbol Club score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Deportivo Maldonado games and 9 of Central Español Fútbol Club games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Maldonado won 0 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Central Español Fútbol Club 2, Deportivo Maldonado 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Deportivo Maldonado or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maldonadorecent form+1%
  • Central Españolrecent form-4%
  • Maldonadorest between games-5%
  • Central Españolrest between games-5%
Maldonado form W W L W LCentral Español form L L D D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club: Deportivo Maldonado are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Maldonado host Central Español Fútbol Club in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 3 Oct, 21:00 at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. Our prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.17.

Deportivo Maldonado form

Deportivo Maldonado have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Central Español Fútbol Club form

Central Español Fútbol Club have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Maldonado won 0, Central Español Fútbol Club won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Central Español Fútbol Club 2, Deportivo Maldonado 1.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Maldonado to score about 1.6 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club about 0.6. That points to Deportivo Maldonado to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.17. Our bold bet is Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.5 at 3.42.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MaldonadoCentral Español
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws66
Losses49
Goals scored3118
Goals conceded1728
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record6W 4D 1L4W 4D 4L
Away record4W 2D 3L1W 2D 5L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.67
Over 3.5 goals18%5.60
Both teams to score35%2.86
Deportivo Maldonado or Draw88%1.13
Central Español Fútbol Club or Draw37%2.71
Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.531%3.27
Central Español Fútbol Club to win and Over 2.54%23.06
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet57%1.74
Central Español Fútbol Club clean sheet20%5.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.7%
2-014.9%
0-011.8%
1-110.8%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Our prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Maldonado to score 1.6 goals and Central Español Fútbol Club 0.6.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Deportivo Maldonado last 20 games and 10 of Central Español Fútbol Club last 20.

How are Deportivo Maldonado playing?

Deportivo Maldonado have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Central Español Fútbol Club playing?

Central Español Fútbol Club have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Maldonado and Central Español Fútbol Club last met?

It ended Central Español Fútbol Club 2, Deportivo Maldonado 1. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Maldonado won 0 and Central Español Fútbol Club won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español Fútbol Club?

Deportivo Maldonado or Draw at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maldonado against Central Español. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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