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Predictions › Uruguay › Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool
Uruguayan Primera DivisionFri 9 Oct, 23:00 Uruguay time

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool prediction

Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Deportivo MaldonadoHome
1.35 : 0.89
expected goals
LiverpoolAway
47%Maldonado
29%Draw
24%Liverpool
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Deportivo Maldonado 1.4, Liverpool 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Maldonado 47%, the draw 29% and Liverpool 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Maldonado took 9 points from their last 5 games and Liverpool took 8 from 5. Deportivo Maldonado come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Maldonado won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Liverpool won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Maldonado score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Liverpool score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Deportivo Maldonado games and 9 of Liverpool games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Maldonado won 1 and Liverpool won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Liverpool 0, Deportivo Maldonado 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maldonadorecent form+1%
  • Liverpoolrecent form+1%
  • Liverpoolrest between games-2%
Maldonado form W W L W LLiverpool form W D L W DHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool: Deportivo Maldonado are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Maldonado host Liverpool in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Fri 9 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. Our prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Deportivo Maldonado form

Deportivo Maldonado have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Maldonado won 1, Liverpool won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Liverpool 0, Deportivo Maldonado 2.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Maldonado to score about 1.4 goals and Liverpool about 0.9. That points to Deportivo Maldonado to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MaldonadoLiverpool
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws66
Losses45
Goals scored3126
Goals conceded1715
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game0.80.8
Home record6W 4D 1L4W 3D 2L
Away record4W 2D 3L5W 3D 3L
Clean sheets40%55%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.57
Over 3.5 goals19%5.28
Both teams to score45%2.25
Deportivo Maldonado or Draw76%1.31
Liverpool or Draw53%1.88
Deportivo Maldonado to win and Over 2.523%4.26
Liverpool to win and Over 2.511%9.05
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet41%2.44
Liverpool clean sheet26%3.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-011.4%
2-09.7%
0-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool?

Our prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool is Deportivo Maldonado to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Maldonado to score 1.4 goals and Liverpool 0.9.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Deportivo Maldonado last 20 games and 8 of Liverpool last 20.

How are Deportivo Maldonado playing?

Deportivo Maldonado have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Liverpool playing?

Liverpool have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool last met?

It ended Liverpool 0, Deportivo Maldonado 2. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Maldonado won 1 and Liverpool won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maldonado against Liverpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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